Belgrano Cordoba vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Prediction, Tips & Odds
Belgrano Cordoba vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Match Preview
The model favours Belgrano Cordoba to win against Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Belgrano currently sits in fifth place in the Liga Profesional Argentina, having secured 26 points from 16 matches with a record of seven wins, five draws, and four losses. Their goal difference of +4 reflects a solid defensive performance, conceding only 13 goals while scoring 17. Despite a mixed recent form of one win, two draws, and two losses, their overall season performance positions them well against lower-ranked opponents. In contrast, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto is struggling at 15th place with just five points from 16 games, resulting from one win, two draws, and an alarming 13 losses. They have only managed to score five goals while conceding 24, leading to a goal difference of -19. Their recent form shows no wins in their last five matches, with three draws and two losses, indicating significant challenges in both attacking and defending. The model suggests a win probability of around 70% for Belgrano, reflecting their stronger season performance. However, it is important to note that if Belgrano's finishing remains inefficient or if Estudiantes manages to surprise defensively, the outcome could differ. For a detailed understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Belgrano Cordoba have kept a clean sheet in 47% of matches. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto average 0.3 goals per game.
Belgrano Cordoba manage games at home, conceding just 0.80 goals per match. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto score 0.33 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 21.9% probability.
Belgrano Cordoba have been the stronger side, winning 40% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Belgrano Cordoba win as the most likely scoreline at 21.9% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Belgrano Cordoba clean sheets, in line with their 47% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Belgrano Cordoba are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Belgrano Cordoba vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.42 | 3.98 | 8.40 | 2.25 | 1.60 | 2.49 | 1.46 | |
| 1.44 | 3.90 | 7.50 | 2.38 | 1.57 | 2.55 | 1.50 | |
| 1.45 | 4.20 | 8.41 | 2.32 | 1.65 | — | — | |
| 1.38 | 3.59 | 6.86 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.44 | 3.80 | 7.50 | — | — | 2.40 | 1.50 | |
| 1.44 | 3.80 | 10.00 | 2.30 | 1.60 | 2.50 | 1.50 | |
| 1.45 | 4.06 | 8.55 | 2.29 | 1.62 | 2.49 | 1.48 | |
Betano | 1.47 | 4.10 | 9.50 | 2.35 | 1.62 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
BetVictor | 1.44 | 4.00 | 8.50 | 2.18 | 1.58 | 2.50 | 1.45 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 6 Meetings (Belgrano Cordoba leads 2-0)In the last six matches between Belgrano Cordoba and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, Belgrano has won 2, there have been 3 draws, and Estudiantes has not won any. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with three matches finishing in draws and Belgrano securing narrow victories in the two games they won, both by a 1-0 scoreline. Notably, Estudiantes has struggled to find the net against Belgrano, as they have not scored in their last three encounters. The absence of wins for Estudiantes in this period highlights their difficulties in overcoming Belgrano in recent meetings.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | WLWDL |
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | WLDLW |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | WDWDD |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DWDDD |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | DDWDL |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 | DDDLW |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | LWLLD |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | LLDDL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | DLDDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBelgrano Cordoba have won 7 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Huracan 1-1 and lost to Defensa Y Justicia 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 11D 7L from the last 30 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have won 0 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Huracan 1-1 and lost to Argentinos JRS 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 2W 7D 15L from the last 24 games (8% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersBelgrano Cordoba
No reported absences
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
A. Merlos has averaged 5.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Belgrano Cordoba have averaged 3.8 corners per match at home; Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 4.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Belgrano Cordoba have generated 0.89 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 40% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Belgrano Cordoba player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
