Platense vs Newells Old Boys Prediction, Tips & Odds
Platense vs Newells Old Boys
Match Preview
The model favours Platense to win this match against Newells Old Boys, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Platense currently sits in 12th place on the table with 16 points, having secured three wins, seven draws, and six losses in their 16 matches. Their goal difference of -5 indicates a struggle in attack, with only 10 goals scored this season. However, their recent form of one win, three draws, and one loss suggests they are finding a more stable footing. On the other hand, Newells Old Boys are just one point behind in 14th place, with a record of three wins, six draws, and seven losses. Their goal difference of -12 highlights significant defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded 27 goals this season. Despite this, Newells have shown resilience in their recent matches, going unbeaten in their last five games with two wins and three draws, which could provide them with confidence heading into this fixture. The model gives Platense a win probability of approximately 55%, indicating a slight edge over Newells Old Boys. While the projection suggests a close match, the caveat lies in Platense's struggle to convert chances into goals, which could leave them vulnerable to a counter-attack. For a deeper understanding of our prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Platense have kept a clean sheet in 30% of matches. Newells Old Boys average 0.9 goals per game.
Platense manage games at home, conceding just 1.06 goals per match. Newells Old Boys score 0.93 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.2% probability.
Platense have been the stronger side, winning 24% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Platense win as the most likely scoreline at 18.2% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Platense clean sheets, in line with their 30% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Platense are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Platense vs Newells Old Boys| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.15 | 2.94 | 3.70 | 2.49 | 1.42 | 2.15 | 1.61 | |
| 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.63 | 1.47 | 2.15 | 1.67 | |
| 2.21 | 3.05 | 3.84 | 2.70 | 1.49 | — | — | |
| 2.09 | 2.78 | 3.19 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.15 | 2.90 | 3.60 | — | — | 2.15 | 1.65 | |
| 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.90 | 2.60 | 1.48 | 2.10 | 1.67 | |
| 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.78 | 2.49 | 1.42 | 2.15 | 1.63 | |
Betano | 2.18 | 3.00 | 3.90 | 2.62 | 1.52 | 2.07 | 1.70 |
BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.70 | 2.47 | 1.46 | 2.15 | 1.62 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 8 Meetings (Newells Old Boys leads 3-0)In the last eight matches between Platense and Newells Old Boys, the record stands at 0 wins for Platense, 5 draws, and 3 wins for Newells Old Boys. The scorelines indicate a relatively tight competition, with five matches ending in draws and only three occasions where one side secured a win. Notably, Newells Old Boys has not achieved heavy victories, with their wins featuring scorelines of 1-0, 2-0, and 3-1, suggesting that while they have been more successful, the matches have often been closely contested. Platense has not won against Newells Old Boys in these encounters, with their last victory dating back prior to this sample.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | WLWDL |
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | WLDLW |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | WDWDD |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DWDDD |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | DDWDL |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 | LDLWD |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | DDDWW |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | LWLLD |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | LLDDL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | DLDDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonPlatense have won 4 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 8 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Deportivo Riestra 1-1 and drew with Instituto Cordoba 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 14D 11L from the last 33 games (24% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Newells Old Boys have won 2 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Rosario Central 1-1 and drew with Estudiantes L.P. 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 10D 11L from the last 27 games (22% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersPlatense
No reported absences
Newells Old Boys
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
S. Martinez has averaged 6.0 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Platense have averaged 4.5 corners per match at home; Newells Old Boys 4.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Platense have generated 1.10 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 24% of them. They put 5.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Platense player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
