CF Montreal vs Charlotte Prediction, Tips & Odds
CF Montreal vs Charlotte
Match Preview
The model favours Charlotte to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against CF Montreal. Charlotte sits in a strong fifth position in the league, having accumulated 32 points from 21 matches, with a record of nine wins, five draws, and seven losses. Their goal-scoring ability has been solid, netting 38 goals this season while conceding 32, resulting in a positive goal difference of six. Recent form shows they have won three of their last five matches, contributing to their push for playoff contention. In contrast, CF Montreal is struggling in 14th place, with only 21 points from 21 games. Their season has been marked by inconsistency, reflected in their record of five wins, six draws, and ten losses. Montreal has scored 29 goals but has conceded 39, leading to a negative goal difference of ten. Their recent form, with just one win in their last five matches, highlights the challenges they face as they seek to climb the standings. The model gives Charlotte a strong win probability, reflecting their superior position and form. However, one caveat is that if Montreal can exploit any defensive lapses from Charlotte, they could make this a closer contest than expected. For a detailed understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.1% probability.
Charlotte have been the stronger side, winning 48% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Charlotte are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
CF Montreal vs Charlotte| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.28 | 3.80 | 2.70 | 1.50 | 2.55 | 1.42 | 2.62 | |
| 2.31 | 3.70 | 2.71 | 1.46 | 2.39 | 1.43 | 2.58 | |
| 2.30 | 3.80 | 2.80 | 1.50 | 2.45 | 1.44 | 2.70 | |
| 2.41 | 3.91 | 2.75 | 1.54 | 2.58 | — | — | |
| 2.32 | 3.48 | 2.54 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.70 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 2.35 | 3.90 | 2.70 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 2.28 | 3.65 | 2.80 | 1.53 | 2.43 | 1.45 | 2.55 | |
| 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.70 | 1.50 | 2.45 | 1.44 | 2.63 | |
Betano | 2.37 | 3.75 | 2.77 | 1.55 | 2.55 | 1.45 | 2.62 |
Superbet | 2.37 | 3.75 | 2.75 | 1.53 | 2.52 | 1.46 | 2.60 |
BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.75 | 2.70 | 1.49 | 2.38 | 1.40 | 2.70 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 8 Meetings (CF Montreal leads 5-2)In the last eight matches between CF Montreal and Charlotte, CF Montreal has won 5 times, with Charlotte securing 2 victories and 1 match ending in a draw. The scorelines indicate a tendency for CF Montreal to dominate, as they have achieved several narrow victories, including a 2-1 win on two occasions. However, Charlotte's two wins, including a 1-0 result, show they can compete effectively. The most recent match saw CF Montreal winning decisively 4-1, suggesting a recent shift in momentum. Overall, while CF Montreal leads the head-to-head record, the matches have featured both competitive and one-sided outcomes.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 21 | 29 | 54 | DLDWW |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 46 | LWLWW |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 45 | DDDWL |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 43 | LWDDL |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 43 | WWWDL |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 43 | WWLWD |
| 4 | Charlotte | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 40 | DWDWW |
| 14 |  Seattle Sounders | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 28 | DDDDL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 18 | WLLLD |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 21 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonCF Montreal have won 5 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Charlotte 1-2 and drew with Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 7D 17L from the last 33 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Charlotte have won 5 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Charlotte 1-2 and beat Atlanta United FC 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 6D 11L from the last 33 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedCF Montreal4-2-3-1Confirmed
Charlotte4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
10 playersCF Montreal6
Charlotte4
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
CF Montreal have averaged 6.1 corners per match at home; Charlotte 5.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Charlotte have generated 1.50 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 48% of them. They put 4.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Charlotte player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
