CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew Prediction, Tips & Odds
CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew
Match Preview
The model favours Columbus Crew to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Columbus currently sits in 13th place with 23 points from 23 matches, having recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses. Their goal difference of -5 indicates a relatively competitive season, especially compared to CF Montreal. Columbus has shown some resilience at times, scoring 34 goals while allowing 39, which highlights their potential to secure points despite recent struggles. Meanwhile, CF Montreal is in a challenging position at 15th in the standings with only 21 points. Their season has been marked by inconsistency, as reflected in their recent form of 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. With 30 goals scored and 48 conceded, their defensive issues are evident, contributing to a goal difference of -18. This season has proven difficult for Montreal, and they will need to improve significantly to climb the standings. The model gives Columbus Crew a win probability of around 55%, suggesting they are more likely to take the points. However, a potential caveat is their recent form, which has seen them lose four consecutive matches prior to this fixture, indicating vulnerability. For a detailed breakdown of how this prediction was reached, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis comes from The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.6% probability.
Columbus Crew have been the stronger side, winning 37% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Columbus Crew are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
CF Montreal vs Columbus Crew| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.62 | 3.62 | 2.39 | 1.57 | 2.31 | 1.48 | 2.43 | |
| 2.63 | 3.80 | 2.40 | 1.53 | 2.45 | 1.50 | 2.55 | |
| 2.76 | 3.71 | 2.49 | 1.62 | 2.40 | — | — | |
| 2.54 | 3.41 | 2.36 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.40 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.50 | |
| 2.70 | 3.70 | 2.45 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
Betano | 2.67 | 3.70 | 2.47 | 1.62 | 2.37 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.70 | 2.40 | 1.55 | 2.25 | 1.45 | 2.55 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Columbus Crew leads 5-1)In the last 10 matches between CF Montreal and Columbus Crew, Columbus Crew has won 5 times, CF Montreal has won once, and there have been 4 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with a mix of tight matches and a few more decisive results. Notably, the Crew secured three victories by a margin of two goals, while Montreal's lone win was by a single goal. The frequent draws suggest that some encounters have been closely contested, but overall, Columbus Crew has had the upper hand in recent meetings. CF Montreal has not won against Columbus Crew since August 2022.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 21 | 29 | 54 | DLDWW |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 46 | LWLWW |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 45 | DDDWL |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 43 | LWDDL |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 43 | WWWDL |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 43 | WWLWD |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 23 | LLWLL |
| 14 |  Seattle Sounders | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 28 | DDDDL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 18 | WLLLD |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 21 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonCF Montreal have won 5 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Charlotte 1-2 and drew with Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 7D 17L from the last 33 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Columbus Crew have won 3 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 11. Their recent away fixtures include lost to DC United 2-1 and lost to Club America 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 8D 16L from the last 38 games (37% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedCF Montreal4-2-3-1Confirmed
Columbus Crew4-4-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
8 playersCF Montreal4
Columbus Crew4
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
F. Bazakos has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by F. Bazakos to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
CF Montreal have averaged 6.1 corners per match at home; Columbus Crew 4.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Columbus Crew have generated 1.16 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 37% of them. They put 3.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Columbus Crew player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
