CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana Prediction, Tips & Odds
CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana
Match Preview
The model favours Club Tijuana to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Tijuana currently sits in fourth place in the Liga MX standings, having won four of their six matches this season. Their solid form includes a goal difference of plus three, with ten goals scored and only seven conceded. This consistency, particularly in their attacking play, positions them as a strong contender for the match. In contrast, CF Pachuca is in 11th place, with a record of two wins, two draws, and three losses from their seven games. They have managed to score ten goals but have also conceded eight, resulting in a goal difference of two. While they have shown some resilience with two wins in their last five matches, their overall performance has been inconsistent, which may hinder their ability to challenge Tijuana effectively. The model output indicates that Club Tijuana has a higher win probability for this fixture. While Pachuca has the home advantage, their recent form and league position suggest they could struggle against a more formidable Tijuana side. One concern for Tijuana could be their recent dip in form, with two losses in their last three matches. For a deeper understanding of this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where the method, based on expected goals and actual results, is detailed. This analysis comes from The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
CF Pachuca manage games at home, conceding just 0.97 goals per match. Club Tijuana score 1.14 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.6% probability.
CF Pachuca have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.6% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature CF Pachuca clean sheets, in line with their 31% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. CF Pachuca are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
CF Pachuca vs Club Tijuana| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.72 | 3.74 | 4.20 | 1.73 | 2.02 | 1.67 | 2.05 | |
| 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.33 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.73 | 2.10 | |
| 1.81 | 4.03 | 4.17 | 1.78 | 2.11 | — | — | |
| 1.78 | 3.24 | 3.62 | 1.74 | 2.08 | — | — | |
| 1.75 | 3.30 | 3.90 | — | — | 1.65 | 2.05 | |
| 1.75 | 3.70 | 4.75 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 1.74 | 3.74 | 4.20 | 1.73 | 2.02 | 1.67 | 2.08 | |
Betano | 1.82 | 3.95 | 4.55 | 1.80 | 2.05 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
BetVictor | 1.73 | 3.70 | 4.20 | 1.72 | 1.97 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Club Tijuana leads 5-4)The head-to-head record between CF Pachuca and Club Tijuana shows a slight edge for Club Tijuana, with 5 wins compared to 4 for CF Pachuca and 1 draw in their last 10 meetings. The scorelines indicate a mix of competitiveness, with several matches being closely contested, such as the 3-2 and 2-1 results. However, there have also been some decisive victories, notably Pachuca's 6-1 win. Club Tijuana's most recent victory against Pachuca came in August 2025, while Pachuca's last win was in March 2025, highlighting a relatively even contest over the recent past.
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 17 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Toluca | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Club America | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 16 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Cruz Azul | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 15 | WWWLL |
| 5 |  Club Queretaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | WWLDW |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 13 | LWLWD |
| 9 | CF Pachuca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 11 | WWDDL |
| 16 |  Atletico San Luis | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 | LWDLD |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 23 | -19 | 0 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonCF Pachuca have won 9 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with CF Pachuca 1-1 and lost to CF Pachuca 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 6D 9L from the last 32 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Club Tijuana have won 4 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Guadalajara Chivas 5-2 and lost to Portland Timbers 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 10D 9L from the last 28 games (32% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersCF Pachuca
No reported absences
Club Tijuana
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Jorge Abraham Camacho Peregrina has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Jorge Abraham Camacho Peregrina to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
CF Pachuca have averaged 4.7 corners per match at home; Club Tijuana 3.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
CF Pachuca have generated 1.10 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. CF Pachuca player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
