Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas Prediction, Tips & Odds
Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Match Preview
The model favours Club Tijuana to win against U.N.A.M. - Pumas, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Club Tijuana currently sits in second place in the league standings, boasting an unbeaten record with two wins and one draw from their three matches. Their offensive output has been solid, scoring four goals while conceding just one, resulting in a positive goal difference of three. This defensive strength will be key as they look to maintain their strong start to the season. On the other hand, U.N.A.M. - Pumas is positioned fourth, with two wins and one loss from their three games. They have shown attacking prowess, netting seven goals, but their defence has been less solid, allowing five goals. This inconsistency at the back could be a concern as they face a team that has demonstrated both defensive resilience and a competent attack. The model gives Club Tijuana a win probability of approximately 55%, while U.N.A.M. - Pumas sits at 25%, leaving a draw at 20%. One potential caveat is that Club Tijuana's recent form shows only one win in their last five matches across all competitions, which could indicate vulnerabilities if their recent trend continues. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.9% probability.
Club Tijuana have been the stronger side, winning 33% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Club Tijuana are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Club Tijuana vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.23 | 3.52 | 2.89 | 1.68 | 2.12 | 1.55 | 2.26 | |
| 2.25 | 3.60 | 2.88 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.25 | 3.52 | 2.90 | 1.68 | 2.12 | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 1.66 | 2.10 | 1.52 | 2.25 | |
Betano | 2.27 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 1.72 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2.32 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (U.N.A.M. - Pumas leads 4-2)In the last 10 matches between Club Tijuana and U.N.A.M. - Pumas, the record stands at 2 wins for Club Tijuana, 4 draws, and 4 wins for U.N.A.M. - Pumas. This indicates a relatively balanced rivalry, although U.N.A.M. - Pumas holds a slight edge in victories. The scorelines reflect a mixture of outcomes, with several matches ending in draws (40%) and a few high-scoring games, such as the 4-1 win for U.N.A.M. - Pumas. Notably, the most recent draw was in early 2026, suggesting that both teams have had opportunities to claim points in tightly contested matches.
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Atlas | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 | WDWLW |
| 4 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WWDWL |
| 5 |  Puebla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 | WWDLW |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 | LWDWW |
| 9 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | DWWL |
| 16 |  Atletico San Luis | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 | LDDL |
| 17 |  Santos Laguna | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 0 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonClub Tijuana have won 5 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Club Tijuana 2-1 and beat Club Tijuana 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 10D 8L from the last 27 games (33% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas have won 7 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Columbus Crew 1-1 and lost to FC Cincinnati 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 10D 8L from the last 32 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersClub Tijuana
No reported absences
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Club Tijuana have averaged 3.3 corners per match at home; U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Club Tijuana have generated 1.88 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 33% of them. They put 4.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Club Tijuana player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
