Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal Prediction, Tips & Odds
Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal
Match Preview
The model favours Colorado Rapids to win with a projected scoreline of 2-1 against CF Montreal. Currently positioned 7th in the league, the Rapids have shown a solid form with four wins in their last five matches. Their goal difference of +3 indicates a relatively strong attacking and defensive balance, having scored 31 goals while conceding 28. These statistics highlight their ability to secure points consistently, particularly at home. In contrast, CF Montreal sits 14th in the standings, with a record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses. They have struggled this season, conceding 46 goals, which contributes to their negative goal difference of -16. Their recent form reflects this inconsistency, as they have only managed one win in their last five matches. This struggle to convert draws into wins further underlines their challenges throughout the season. The model suggests a win probability of 60% for Colorado Rapids, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market percentage to note is that the Rapids have a strong home advantage, which could influence betting odds. However, it’s important to consider the possibility that an unexpected performance from CF Montreal could disrupt the expected outcome. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.6% probability.
Colorado Rapids have been the stronger side, winning 35% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Colorado Rapids are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Colorado Rapids vs CF Montreal| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.67 | 3.95 | 4.60 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 1.61 | 4.15 | 4.75 | 1.62 | 2.26 | 1.62 | 2.13 | |
| 1.65 | 4.20 | 4.60 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.60 | 2.30 | |
| 1.64 | 4.31 | 5.09 | 1.65 | 2.33 | — | — | |
| 1.61 | 3.79 | 4.49 | 1.61 | 2.29 | — | — | |
| 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.50 | — | — | 1.65 | 2.15 | |
| 1.62 | 4.20 | 5.00 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.73 | 3.90 | 4.20 | 1.56 | 2.35 | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.50 | 1.57 | 2.30 | 1.60 | 2.25 | |
Betano | 1.67 | 4.30 | 5.20 | 1.67 | 2.27 | 1.67 | 2.12 |
BetVictor | 1.60 | 4.10 | 5.00 | 1.59 | 2.17 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Colorado Rapids leads 6-2)In the last 10 matches between Colorado Rapids and CF Montreal, Colorado has won 6 times, drawn once, and Montreal has claimed victory twice. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Colorado to secure more significant victories, with three matches featuring a margin of three goals or more, including a notable 6-3 win. CF Montreal's wins have been tighter, with only one match ending in a draw. The most recent encounter saw Colorado winning 4-1, further emphasizing their dominance in this matchup. Overall, Colorado Rapids has a strong historical advantage over CF Montreal in their head-to-head meetings.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 46 | LWLWW |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 21 | 29 | 54 | DLDWW |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 45 | DDDWL |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 43 | LWDDL |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 43 | WWLWD |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 43 | WWWDL |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 25 | 11 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 35 | WDLWL |
| 14 |  Seattle Sounders | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 28 | DDDDL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 18 | WLLLD |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 21 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonColorado Rapids have won 9 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat CF Montreal 1-0 and beat Real Salt Lake 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 16L from the last 34 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
CF Montreal have won 4 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 13. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Philadelphia Union 2-0 and drew with Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 7D 17L from the last 33 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedColorado Rapids4-3-3Confirmed
CF Montreal4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
13 playersColorado Rapids6
CF Montreal7
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Colorado Rapids have averaged 5.8 corners per match at home; CF Montreal 6.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Colorado Rapids have generated 1.00 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 35% of them. They put 3.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Colorado Rapids player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
