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Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake Prediction, Tips & Odds

Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 22
Colorado Rapids
#7 · Major League Soccer
WDLWL
1 - 0
Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Trade City
Referee: R. Mendoza
Real Salt Lake
#11 · Major League Soccer
LLDLL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.55 (implied 64.6%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 67.1% probability (an expert ratio of 1.49). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (67.1% vs 64.6%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Real Salt Lake to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in 6th place, Real Salt Lake has shown solid form throughout the season with eight wins, four draws, and six losses. Their goal-scoring record stands at 30 goals, while they have conceded 26, leading to a goal difference of 4. In their last five matches, they remain unbeaten, with two wins and three draws, indicating a resilient performance as they push for a playoff position. On the other hand, Colorado Rapids are positioned 8th in the standings with 25 points from 19 games. Their record includes eight wins, one draw, and ten losses, with 29 goals scored and 25 conceded, also resulting in a goal difference of 4. While they have managed to secure three wins in their last five matches, the overall inconsistency in their season may hinder their ability to secure a victory against a team that is currently performing better. The model output suggests a win probability of approximately 55% for Real Salt Lake. While the visitors have the edge, Colorado Rapids could exploit their home advantage, which may lead to a more competitive match than anticipated. For a complete understanding of how this prediction was derived, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season to inform these insights.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Colorado Rapids Win54%1.91
Draw22%3.75
Real Salt Lake Win25%3.59
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.5559.8%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.6257.8%

Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Colorado Rapids 1-1 Real Salt Lake
6.8614.6%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.6% probability.

Asian Handicap
Colorado Rapids -0.5
1.8448%

Colorado Rapids have been the stronger side, winning 35% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.86
14.6%
2-1
7.79
12.9%
1-0
8.64
11.6%
2-0
9.91
10.2%
1-2
11.03
9.2%
2-2
11.23
9.0%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Colorado Rapids
-0.0
1.43
Real Salt Lake
+0.0
2.73
Colorado Rapids
-0.3
1.70
Real Salt Lake
+0.3
3.20
Colorado Rapids
-0.5
1.84
Real Salt Lake
+0.5
3.33
Colorado Rapids
-1.5
3.25
Real Salt Lake
+1.5
7.50

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Colorado Rapids are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Colorado Rapids vs Real Salt Lake
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.903.803.551.622.251.552.30
Marathonbet
1.903.703.621.632.231.552.26
Betfair
1.953.703.601.602.251.532.38
Pinnacle
1.943.893.791.672.31
SBO
1.923.483.33
William Hill
1.853.753.401.572.30
Bet365
1.913.803.751.622.251.572.25
Unibet
1.873.803.601.572.331.522.38
Betano
1.953.753.701.672.271.572.30
Superbet
1.973.803.601.602.351.552.37
BetVictor
1.903.753.601.612.131.532.30

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
79.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
57.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
36.9%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XColorado Rapids or Draw
76%1.27
12Colorado Rapids or Real Salt Lake
78%1.24
X2Draw or Real Salt Lake
46%1.85

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Real Salt Lake leads 6-3)
3 Colorado Rapids1 Draw6 Real Salt Lake
Oct 25
Real Salt Lake
1-0
Colorado Rapids
Major League Soccer
May 25
Colorado Rapids
1-0
Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
Jul 24
Colorado Rapids
3-2
Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
May 24
Real Salt Lake
5-3
Colorado Rapids
Major League Soccer
Mar 24
Real Salt Lake
1-2
Colorado Rapids
Major League Soccer
Oct 23
Colorado Rapids
0-1
Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
Sept 23
Real Salt Lake
2-0
Colorado Rapids
Major League Soccer
May 23
Colorado Rapids
0-1
Real Salt Lake
US Open Cup
May 23
Colorado Rapids
2-3
Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
Jul 22
Real Salt Lake
2-2
Colorado Rapids
Major League Soccer

In the last 10 matches between Colorado Rapids and Real Salt Lake, Real Salt Lake has won 6 times, with Colorado Rapids securing 3 victories and 1 match ending in a draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, though Real Salt Lake has had the upper hand, including a significant 5-3 win. The matches have displayed a mix of narrow and wider margins, with several encounters being closely contested, such as the 2-2 draw and Colorado's 3-2 win. Colorado Rapids last defeated Real Salt Lake in May 2024, suggesting a recent trend favoring the latter.

Major League Soccer Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Nashville SC
25166350212954
DLDWW
1
Vancouver Whitecaps
24144653233046
LWLWW
2
Inter Miami
25129461461545
DDDWL
2
Houston Dynamo
2513483228443
LWDDL
3
FC Dallas
2512764942743
WWWDL
3
New England Revolution
25134841311043
WWLWD
7
Colorado Rapids
25112123332135
WDLWL
11
Real Salt Lake
2485113739-229
LLDLL
14
Seattle Sounders
237792530-528
DDDDL
15
Sporting Kansas City
2453162659-3318
WLLLD
15
CF Montreal
2556143151-2021
LLLLD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Colorado RapidsHome
9W0D3L
12 playedGF 22 · GA 92.25 pts/game
Real Salt LakeAway
1W3D8L
12 playedGF 13 · GA 220.50 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Colorado RapidsReal Salt Lake
1.32Goals p.g.1.65
1.44Goals conceded p.g.1.53
26%Clean sheets12%
35%Win rate38%
2.76Avg goals in match3.18
1.00xG per game0.61
0.08xGA per game-0.04
53%Possession %47%
3.4Shots on target / game4.9
5.8Corners per game4.1
Colorado Rapids
Recent Form

Colorado Rapids have won 9 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat CF Montreal 1-0 and beat Real Salt Lake 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 6D 16L from the last 34 games (35% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Colorado RapidsAll competitions
13 Sept
Colorado Rapids
1-0
CF Montreal
Major League Soccer
10 Sept
Austin
1-1
Colorado Rapids
Major League Soccer
05 Sept
Columbus Crew
3-0
Colorado Rapids
Major League Soccer
30 Aug
Colorado Rapids
1-0
Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
23 Aug
San Diego
3-0
Colorado Rapids
Major League Soccer
02 Aug
Colorado Rapids
1-0
Austin
Major League Soccer
12
Win
35%
6
Draw
18%
16
Lost
47%
Real Salt Lake
Recent Form

Real Salt Lake have won 3 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Houston Dynamo 2-1 and lost to Colorado Rapids 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 13W 8D 13L from the last 34 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Real Salt LakeAll competitions
13 Sept
Real Salt Lake
0-2
New York City FC
Major League Soccer
10 Sept
Houston Dynamo
2-1
Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
06 Sept
Real Salt Lake
2-2
Los Angeles FC
Major League Soccer
30 Aug
Colorado Rapids
1-0
Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
26 Aug
Leon
3-0
Real Salt Lake
Leagues Cup
22 Aug
Orlando City SC
2-1
Real Salt Lake
Major League Soccer
13
Win
38%
8
Draw
24%
13
Lost
38%

Lineups

Confirmed

Colorado Rapids4-2-3-1Confirmed

5Loïc WilliamsDEF
4Reggie CannonDEF
29Miguel NavarroDEF
6Rob HoldingDEF
9Rafael NavarroFWD
31Adam BeaudryGK
88Youssef MazizMID
10Paxten AaronsonMID
8Hamzat OjediranMID
93Georgi MinoungouMID
13Wayne FrederickMID
24Noah CobbDEF
33Kosi ThompsonDEF
2Keegan RosenberryDEF
32Donavan PhillipFWD
77Darren YapiFWD
16Alex HarrisFWD
61Bryan DowdGK
49Nathan TchoumbaMID
12Josh AtencioMID

Real Salt Lake3-4-3Confirmed

3Kobi HenryDEF
29Sam JunquaDEF
21Juan Jose AriasDEF
9Morgan GuilavoguiFWD
22Sergi SolansFWD
39Aiden HezarkhaniFWD
1Rafael CabralGK
98Alexandros KatranisMID
2DeAndre YedlinMID
92Noel CaliskanMID
7Pablo RuízMID
4Lukas EngelDEF
70Lineker RodriguesFWD
11Dominik MarczukFWD
31Mason StajduharGK
10Diego LunaMID
25Colin GuskeMID
34Luca MoisaMID
8Juan SanabriaMID
12Saba LobzhanidzeMID

Unavailable Players

13 players

Colorado Rapids6

J. Travis
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
K. Stewart-Baynes
Missing FixtureLeg Injury
M. Diop
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
M. Navarro
QuestionableInjury
T. Ku-DiPietro
Missing FixtureShoulder Injury
Z. Steffen
Missing FixtureShoulder Injury

Real Salt Lake7

A. Piol
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
E. Eneli
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
G. Dillon
Missing FixtureFoot Injury
J. Glad
Missing FixtureGroin Injury
L. Moisa
QuestionableInjury
S. Spierings
Missing FixtureAnkle Injury
Z. Booth
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.62 (57.8%)
Both Teams Score1.55 (59.8%)
Value Bets
Colorado Rapids Win1.91 (53.9%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.26 (42.2%)
BTTS No2.32 (40.2%)
Speculative
Draw3.75 (21.7%)
Real Salt Lake Win3.59 (24.5%)

Yellow Card Prediction

R. Mendoza has averaged 8.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

Colorado Rapids have averaged 5.8 corners per match at home; Real Salt Lake 4.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Colorado Rapids have generated 1.00 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 35% of them. They put 3.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Colorado Rapids player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.