Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution Prediction, Tips & Odds
Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution
Match Preview
The model favours New England Revolution to win this match with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Sitting in third place in the standings, New England has had a solid season so far, securing nine wins from 18 matches. Their goal difference of +5 highlights their ability to score while maintaining a relatively strong defensive record, with 28 goals scored and 23 conceded. Recent form has been mixed, but they still have one win in their last five matches, suggesting they can find ways to earn points. Columbus Crew, on the other hand, finds themselves in 11th place, with a record of five wins, five draws, and eight losses. Their goal difference of -2 indicates that they have struggled defensively, conceding more goals than they have scored. However, they are currently in better form, going unbeaten in their last five matches with three wins and two draws. This resurgence could provide them with the confidence needed to challenge a higher-ranked opponent. The model output suggests New England Revolution has a win probability of approximately 60%, while Columbus Crew has a 25% chance of winning, with the remaining 15% likely leading to a draw. A key market to watch is the odds on New England to win. However, one caveat is that if Columbus continues their recent unbeaten streak, they could pull off an upset. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, which details our in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results throughout the season, courtesy of The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.1% probability.
Columbus Crew have been the stronger side, winning 37% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Columbus Crew are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Columbus Crew vs New England Revolution| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.12 | 3.70 | 3.05 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 2.07 | 3.56 | 3.24 | 1.66 | 2.18 | 1.54 | 2.28 | |
| 2.10 | 3.75 | 3.20 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2.38 | |
| 2.16 | 3.72 | 3.30 | 1.70 | 2.24 | — | — | |
| 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.10 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.30 | |
| 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.16 | 3.45 | 3.15 | 1.68 | 2.10 | 1.56 | 2.28 | |
Betano | 2.18 | 3.55 | 3.25 | 1.67 | 2.25 | 1.55 | 2.37 |
Superbet | 2.15 | 3.55 | 3.25 | 1.66 | 2.25 | 1.55 | 2.37 |
BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.64 | 2.09 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Columbus Crew leads 4-2)In the last 10 matches between Columbus Crew and New England Revolution, Columbus Crew has won 4 times, New England Revolution has won 2 times, and there have been 4 draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of results, with Columbus Crew achieving some significant victories, including a 5-1 win and a 4-0 win, suggesting they have the upper hand in terms of heavy wins. However, the frequency of draws and the close scorelines in several matches, such as 1-1 and 2-2, demonstrate that the contests have often been tightly contested. New England Revolution's last win against Columbus Crew came in 2025, highlighting a potential challenge for them in recent encounters.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 21 | 29 | 54 | DLDWW |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 46 | LWLWW |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 45 | DDDWL |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 43 | LWDDL |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 43 | WWWDL |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 43 | WWLWD |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 23 | LLWLL |
| 14 |  Seattle Sounders | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 28 | DDDDL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 18 | WLLLD |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 21 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonColumbus Crew have won 11 of their last 20 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to New York Red Bulls 0-1 and beat Colorado Rapids 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 8D 16L from the last 38 games (37% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
New England Revolution have won 4 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat New England Revolution 1-2 and beat New York City FC 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 7D 11L from the last 33 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedColumbus Crew4-4-2Confirmed
New England Revolution4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
8 playersColumbus Crew4
New England Revolution4
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
J. Freemon has averaged 2.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Columbus Crew have averaged 4.6 corners per match at home; New England Revolution 5.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Columbus Crew have generated 1.16 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 37% of them. They put 3.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Columbus Crew player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
