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CSKA 1948 vs Panathinaikos Prediction, Tips & Odds

CSKA 1948 vs Panathinaikos

UEFA Europa Conference League3rd Qualifying Round
CSKA 1948
DWDWD
VS
National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
Panathinaikos
DDWLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.70 (implied 58.8%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 61.3% probability (an expert ratio of 1.63). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (61.3% vs 58.8%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours CSKA 1948 to win against Panathinaikos, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. CSKA 1948 has shown resilience in their recent performances, going undefeated in their last five matches with two wins and three draws. This consistency, particularly their strong defensive record, positions them well as they approach this crucial fixture in the UEFA Europa Conference League. On the other side, Panathinaikos has had a mixed bag of results lately, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. While they have been competitive, their recent form indicates some vulnerability, particularly in maintaining consistency against tougher opponents. This may impact their confidence as they face a determined CSKA side. The model output suggests a win probability of approximately 55% for CSKA 1948, with the potential for Panathinaikos to push for an upset. A key market to watch is the over/under on goals, which may reflect the attacking capabilities of both teams. However, a caveat for CSKA is the potential for fatigue or lapses in concentration, which could allow Panathinaikos to capitalize on any mistakes. The full methodology for this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the analysis is based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season, conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
CSKA 1948 Win31%5.68
Draw23%3.62
Panathinaikos Win46%1.69
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7052.3%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
2.0750.9%

CSKA 1948 manage games at home, conceding just 0.80 goals per match. Panathinaikos score 1.48 on the road.

Correct Score
CSKA 1948 0-1 Panathinaikos
7.0014.3%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.3% probability.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
0-1
7.00
14.3%
1-1
7.30
13.7%
1-2
8.25
12.1%
0-2
8.75
11.4%
0-0
9.50
10.5%
1-3
13.50
7.4%

Our model projects a 0-1 Panathinaikos win as the most likely scoreline at 14.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

Best Betting Odds

CSKA 1948 vs Panathinaikos
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
1xBet
5.653.631.70
Betano
5.703.601.671.802.071.702.07

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
Over 1.5 Goals
75.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
49.1%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XCSKA 1948 or Draw
54%2.22
12CSKA 1948 or Panathinaikos
77%1.27
X2Draw or Panathinaikos
69%1.17

Head to Head

Last 2 Meetings (Panathinaikos leads 2-0)
0 CSKA 19480 Draw2 Panathinaikos
Jul 23
CSKA 1948
0-1
Panathinaikos
Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23
Panathinaikos
1-0
CSKA 1948
Friendlies Clubs

In their last two encounters, Panathinaikos has won both matches against CSKA 1948, with a record of 0 wins for CSKA 1948 and 2 wins for Panathinaikos. The scorelines indicate that these fixtures have been tightly contested, with both matches ending in 1-0 results. This suggests a low-scoring pattern, and CSKA 1948 has not managed to score against Panathinaikos in these meetings. With both matches occurring recently, CSKA 1948 will be looking to break their winless streak against Panathinaikos.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
CSKA 1948Panathinaikos
1.33Goals p.g.1.48
0.8Goals conceded p.g.1.15
40%Clean sheets30%
40%Win rate41%
2.13Avg goals in match2.63
xG per game0.90
xGA per game0.56
49%Possession %49%
1.0Shots on target / game4.3
6.0Corners per game3.9
CSKA 1948
Recent Form

CSKA 1948 have won 5 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat CSKA 1948 2-1 and drew with CSKA 1948 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 7D 2L from the last 15 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: CSKA 1948All competitions
05 Aug
Panathinaikos
1-1
CSKA 1948
UEFA Europa Conference League
31 Jul
CSKA 1948
2-1
Arda Kardzhali
First League
28 Jul
CSKA 1948
0-0
Spartak Trnava
UEFA Europa Conference League
25 Jul
CSKA 1948
2-1
Botev Vratsa
First League
22 Jul
Spartak Trnava
0-0
CSKA 1948
UEFA Europa Conference League
17 Jul
Spartak Varna
2-2
CSKA 1948
First League
6
Win
40%
7
Draw
47%
2
Lost
13%
Panathinaikos
Recent Form

Panathinaikos have won 7 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Paks 1-2 and lost to Rapid Vienna 4-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 11W 9D 7L from the last 27 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: PanathinaikosAll competitions
05 Aug
Panathinaikos
1-1
CSKA 1948
UEFA Europa Conference League
30 Jul
Panathinaikos
2-2
Paks
UEFA Europa Conference League
23 Jul
Paks
1-2
Panathinaikos
UEFA Europa Conference League
15 Jul
Rapid Vienna
4-1
Panathinaikos
Friendlies Clubs
11 Jul
Panathinaikos
3-0
Grasshoppers
Friendlies Clubs
04 Jul
Ajax
1-3
Panathinaikos
Friendlies Clubs
11
Win
41%
9
Draw
33%
7
Lost
26%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

CSKA 1948

No reported absences

Panathinaikos

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
CSKA 1948 Win5.68 (30.6%)
Panathinaikos Win1.69 (46.4%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.80 (49.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.07 (50.9%)
Both Teams Score1.70 (52.3%)
BTTS No2.07 (47.7%)
Speculative
Draw3.62 (23%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

CSKA 1948 have averaged 6.0 corners per match at home; Panathinaikos 3.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Panathinaikos have generated 0.90 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 4.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Panathinaikos player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.