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Rapid Vienna vs Paide Prediction, Tips & Odds

Rapid Vienna vs Paide

UEFA Europa Conference League3rd Qualifying Round
Rapid Vienna
LWDDW
2 - 0
Allianz Stadion, Vienna
Referee: D. Shurman
Paide
WLWDL
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.65
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.58 (implied 63.2%) for Both Teams Not to Score. Our experts calculate a 65.7% probability (an expert ratio of 1.52). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (65.7% vs 63.2%), driven by the stronger side's ability to control the game and keep a clean sheet. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Rapid Vienna to win this match against Paide, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Rapid Vienna enters this match in strong form, having won their last five matches. This perfect streak highlights their current momentum and ability to secure victories consistently. While specific season stats are not available, their recent performance suggests a solid attacking and defensive balance. On the other hand, Paide has had a mixed run lately, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. This inconsistency may pose a challenge as they face a team that is currently in excellent form. Their ability to compete effectively will depend on how well they can adapt to Rapid Vienna's pressure and exploit any defensive gaps. Overall, the model indicates a win probability favouring Rapid Vienna, alongside a projected score of 2-0. One key market percentage to consider is the likelihood of a home win. However, a potential caveat is that Rapid Vienna's recent performances may not fully reflect their capacity to handle pressure in a knockout scenario. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Rapid Vienna Win70%1.10
Draw13%8.64
Paide Win17%17.85
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
2.2350.2%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.3466.0%

Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Rapid Vienna 3-0 Paide
5.9417.0%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.0% probability.

Asian Handicap
Rapid Vienna -0.0
1.0364%

Rapid Vienna have been the stronger side, winning 51% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
3-0
5.94
17.0%
2-0
6.01
16.9%
4-0
7.40
13.7%
1-0
8.74
11.6%
3-1
10.03
10.1%
2-1
10.21
9.9%

Our model projects a 3-0 Rapid Vienna win as the most likely scoreline at 17.0% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Rapid Vienna clean sheets, in line with their 30% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Rapid Vienna
-0.0
1.03
Paide
+0.0
16.50

Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Rapid Vienna are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Rapid Vienna vs Paide
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.098.5018.001.353.002.251.53
Marathonbet
1.098.6021.001.302.972.161.60
Betfair
1.079.0016.001.293.302.251.60
Pinnacle
1.118.4114.661.372.87
SBO
1.097.4313.00
William Hill
1.1110.0017.002.151.62
Bet365
1.118.0017.001.363.002.381.53
1xBet
1.1110.1025.001.312.922.161.62
Unibet
1.108.5020.001.382.752.451.47
Betano
1.147.6015.501.353.052.101.65
Superbet
1.118.6016.001.333.052.171.61
BetVictor
1.099.0021.001.333.132.201.60

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
93.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
85.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
Over 3.5 Goals
49.7%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XRapid Vienna or Draw
83%1.02
12Rapid Vienna or Paide
87%1.05
X2Draw or Paide
30%6.09

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Rapid Vienna leads 1-0)
1 Rapid Vienna0 Draw0 Paide
06 Aug
Paide
0-1
Rapid Vienna
UEFA Europa Conference League

Rapid Vienna has a head-to-head record of 1 win and 0 draws against Paide, with no victories for Paide. The only match between these teams ended in a narrow 1-0 win for Rapid Vienna, indicating a closely contested fixture. With just one match played, it is too early to establish any significant patterns or trends. However, the absence of draws or wins for Paide suggests that they have struggled to compete effectively against Rapid Vienna in this encounter.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Rapid ViennaPaide
1.89Goals p.g.1.71
1.3Goals conceded p.g.1.43
30%Clean sheets24%
51%Win rate48%
3.19Avg goals in match3.14
1.54xG per game
-0.28xGA per game
61%Possession %31%
5.7Shots on target / game1.5
5.1Corners per game2.5
Rapid Vienna
Recent Form

Rapid Vienna have won 15 of their last 23 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Rapid Vienna 3-1 and drew with Rapid Vienna 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 19W 8D 10L from the last 37 games (51% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Rapid ViennaAll competitions
02 Sept
Red Bull Salzburg
5-1
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
30 Aug
Rapid Vienna
3-1
Sturm Graz
Bundesliga
26 Aug
Rapid Vienna
1-1
Heart Of Midlothian
UEFA Europa Conference League
20 Aug
Heart Of Midlothian
2-2
Rapid Vienna
UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Aug
Rapid Vienna
8-0
Grazer AK
Bundesliga
12 Aug
Rapid Vienna
2-0
Paide
UEFA Europa Conference League
19
Win
51%
8
Draw
22%
10
Lost
27%
Paide
Recent Form

Paide have won 5 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 8 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Paide 1-2 and lost to FC Levadia Tallinn 4-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 20W 10D 12L from the last 42 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: PaideAll competitions
30 Aug
Flora Tallinn
1-2
Paide
Meistriliiga
26 Aug
FC Levadia Tallinn
4-1
Paide
Cup
23 Aug
Paide
4-1
Nõmme United
Meistriliiga
16 Aug
Trans Narva
1-1
Paide
Meistriliiga
12 Aug
Rapid Vienna
2-0
Paide
UEFA Europa Conference League
06 Aug
Paide
1-4
Rapid Vienna
UEFA Europa Conference League
20
Win
48%
10
Draw
24%
12
Lost
29%

Lineups

Confirmed

Rapid Vienna4-4-2Confirmed

23Jonas AuerDEF
2Eaden RokaDEF
4Jakob SchöllerDEF
55Nenad CvetkovićDEF
7Marco TilioFWD
43Moulaye HaïdaraFWD
1Niklas HedlGK
17Tobias Fjeld GulliksenMID
29Romeo AmaneMID
21Louis SchaubMID
15Nikolaus WurmbrandMID
38Jannes HornDEF
6Serge-Philippe Raux-YaoDEF
61Furkan DemirDEF
77Bendegúz BollaDEF
22Yusuf DemirFWD
10Petter Nosakhare DahlFWD
8Tonni AdamsenFWD
9Ercan KaraFWD
50Laurenz OrglerGK
25Paul GartlerGK
18Matthias SeidlMID
30Nicolas BajliczMID

Paide4-3-3Confirmed

3Victor HugoDEF
15Hindrek OjamaaDEF
2Michael LilanderDEF
27Nikita BaranovDEF
6Daniel CabralFWD
9Henri AnierFWD
77Daniel LutsFWD
99Ebrima JarjuGK
11Pa Modou SohnaMID
28Oskar HoimMID
10Martin MillerMID
44Kristofer KaitDEF
7Edgar TurDEF
4Pedro Andrade DrozinaDEF
30Abdourahman BadamosiFWD
20Kristofer PihtFWD
19Siim LutsFWD
12Marko MeeritsGK
8Henrik OjamaaMID
14Momodou JobartehMID
16Aleksandr ŠurõginMID
17Pa Abdou ChamMID
21Ramon SmirnovMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Rapid Vienna

No reported absences

Paide

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Rapid Vienna Win1.10 (69.9%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.34 (66%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals3.00 (34%)
Both Teams Score2.23 (50.2%)
BTTS No1.58 (49.8%)
Speculative
Draw8.64 (13%)
Paide Win17.85 (17.1%)

Yellow Card Prediction

D. Shurman has averaged 4.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

Rapid Vienna have averaged 5.1 corners per match at home; Paide 2.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Rapid Vienna have generated 1.54 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 51% of them. They put 5.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rapid Vienna player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score No

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.