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FC Copenhagen vs Debreceni VSC Prediction, Tips & Odds

FC Copenhagen vs Debreceni VSC

UEFA Europa Conference League3rd Qualifying Round
FC Copenhagen
WWWWL
5 - 1
Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
Referee: J. Pignard
Debreceni VSC
LWLDW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.53
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.49 (implied 67.1%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 69.6% probability (an expert ratio of 1.44). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (69.6% vs 67.1%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours FC Copenhagen to win against Debreceni VSC, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. FC Copenhagen has shown strong form lately, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches. This consistent performance places them in a competitive position as they advance in the UEFA Europa Conference League. Their recent results suggest a well-rounded attack and solid defensive capabilities, essential for success in knockout rounds. In contrast, Debreceni VSC has had a more mixed run, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. This inconsistency could hinder their chances against a team like FC Copenhagen, which is currently in better form. Debreceni will need to find a way to improve their performance, especially if they hope to pose a challenge on the road. According to the model, FC Copenhagen has a significant win probability in this matchup. However, one caveat to consider is that if Debreceni VSC manages to exploit any defensive lapses from FC Copenhagen, they could turn the tide. The full method of this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, which utilizes an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
FC Copenhagen Win68%1.26
Draw17%5.32
Debreceni VSC Win16%9.11
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.8954.7%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.4962.7%

Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
FC Copenhagen 2-0 Debreceni VSC
6.1416.5%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.5% probability.

Asian Handicap
FC Copenhagen -0.5
1.2962%

FC Copenhagen have been the stronger side, winning 62% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
2-0
6.14
16.5%
1-0
7.27
13.8%
3-0
7.40
13.7%
2-1
7.90
12.8%
3-1
9.53
10.7%
1-1
9.87
10.3%

Our model projects a 2-0 FC Copenhagen win as the most likely scoreline at 16.5% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature FC Copenhagen clean sheets, in line with their 23% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
FC Copenhagen
-0.0
1.05
Debreceni VSC
+0.0
6.63
FC Copenhagen
-0.5
1.29
Debreceni VSC
+0.5
6.90

Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. FC Copenhagen are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

FC Copenhagen vs Debreceni VSC
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.225.4011.501.502.451.951.70
Marathonbet
1.285.309.101.502.281.881.80
Betfair
1.225.509.001.452.551.871.87
Pinnacle
1.235.448.461.452.49
SBO
1.205.228.49
William Hill
1.255.009.501.831.91
Bet365
1.305.008.001.502.502.001.73
1xBet
1.315.719.801.492.301.881.82
Unibet
1.255.6010.001.532.301.981.71
888Sport
1.255.009.501.442.501.831.91
Betano
1.335.207.801.532.451.851.87
Superbet
1.315.357.801.502.421.871.83
BetVictor
1.295.509.501.512.341.851.83

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
Over 1.5 Goals
80.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
62.7%
Over 3.5 Goals
40.8%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XFC Copenhagen or Draw
85%1.05
12FC Copenhagen or Debreceni VSC
83%1.12
X2Draw or Debreceni VSC
32%3.46

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (FC Copenhagen leads 1-0)
1 FC Copenhagen0 Draw0 Debreceni VSC
06 Aug
Debreceni VSC
0-1
FC Copenhagen
UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Copenhagen has a perfect head-to-head record against Debreceni VSC, winning their only encounter. In that match, FC Copenhagen secured a narrow 1-0 victory, indicating a tightly contested game rather than a one-sided affair. With just one match played, there is limited data to analyze trends, but the absence of draws or wins for Debreceni VSC highlights their struggle against FC Copenhagen in this fixture.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
FC CopenhagenDebreceni VSC
2.49Goals p.g.1.27
1.38Goals conceded p.g.1.45
23%Clean sheets27%
62%Win rate27%
3.87Avg goals in match2.73
1.18xG per game
-0.25xGA per game
48%Possession %54%
6.0Shots on target / game3.8
5.1Corners per game4.8
FC Copenhagen
Recent Form

FC Copenhagen have won 15 of their last 20 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat FC Copenhagen 2-0 and beat FC Copenhagen 3-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 24W 6D 9L from the last 39 games (62% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: FC CopenhagenAll competitions
06 Sept
Odense
0-5
FC Copenhagen
Superliga
03 Sept
FC Copenhagen
2-0
FC Nordsjaelland
Superliga
31 Aug
FC Copenhagen
3-1
Sonderjyske
Superliga
27 Aug
FC Copenhagen
4-1
Inter Turku
UEFA Europa Conference League
23 Aug
Viborg
4-0
FC Copenhagen
Superliga
20 Aug
Inter Turku
0-0
FC Copenhagen
UEFA Europa Conference League
24
Win
62%
6
Draw
15%
9
Lost
23%
Debreceni VSC
Recent Form

Debreceni VSC have won 2 of their last 6 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include beat NK Slaven Belupo 0-1 and drew with Austria Vienna 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 3W 4D 4L from the last 11 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Debreceni VSCAll competitions
26 Jul
Debreceni VSC
0-2
Puskas Academy
NB I
10 Jul
NK Slaven Belupo
0-1
Debreceni VSC
Friendlies Clubs
09 Jul
Debreceni VSC
1-3
Železničar Pančevo
Friendlies Clubs
04 Jul
Austria Vienna
1-1
Debreceni VSC
Friendlies Clubs
16 May
Debreceni VSC
2-1
Ujpest
NB I
03 May
Paks
5-2
Debreceni VSC
NB I
3
Win
27%
4
Draw
36%
4
Lost
36%

Lineups

Confirmed

FC Copenhagen4-2-3-1Confirmed

5Gabriel PereiraDEF
20Junnosuke SuzukiDEF
24Birger MelingDEF
6Ákos MarkgráfDEF
44Geovanni VianneyFWD
1Dominik KotarskiGK
16RobertMID
21Mads Emil MadsenMID
10Mohamed ElyounoussiMID
36William ClemMID
33Alex KrálMID
37Mustapha NyassiDEF
18Kenay MyrieDEF
4Munashe GaranangaDEF
2Felix BeijmoDEF
45Gunnar Orri OlsenFWD
9Youssoufa MoukokoFWD
14Andreas CorneliusFWD
39Viktor Bjarki DadasonFWD
51Tobias Breum-HarildGK
31Rúnar Alex RúnarssonGK
34Marvin NasnasMID
27Thomas DelaneyMID

Debreceni VSC4-3-3Confirmed

8Leon MyrtajDEF
72Rotem KellerDEF
4Josua MejíasDEF
5Bence BatikDEF
18Shedrach KayeFWD
25Sohan BaldoniFWD
99Flórián CiblaFWD
12Benedek ErdélyiGK
75Dávid PataiMID
97Csanád Vilmos DénesMID
78Balázs SainMID
3Adrián GuerreroDEF
2Dénes SzakálDEF
40Dávid HermannDEF
26Ádám LangDEF
11Ákos SzendreiFWD
89Dániel PóserGK
1Plamen AndreevGK
20Máté MacsóMID
22Botond VajdaMID
10Balázs DzsudzsákMID
6Blaž BoškovićMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

FC Copenhagen

No reported absences

Debreceni VSC

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
FC Copenhagen Win1.26 (67.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.49 (62.7%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.42 (37.3%)
Both Teams Score1.89 (54.7%)
BTTS No1.82 (45.3%)
Speculative
Draw5.32 (16.7%)
Debreceni VSC Win9.11 (15.5%)

Yellow Card Prediction

J. Pignard has averaged 4.0 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

FC Copenhagen have averaged 5.1 corners per match at home; Debreceni VSC 4.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

FC Copenhagen have generated 1.18 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 62% of them. They put 6.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC Copenhagen player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.