CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov Prediction, Tips & Odds
CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov
Match Preview
The model favours CSKA Moscow to win against Krylia Sovetov, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. CSKA Moscow has struggled recently, recording two draws and three losses in their last five matches. Despite this downturn in form, they remain a competitive side in the league, and their ability to create chances may give them the edge in this matchup. Krylia Sovetov finds themselves in a similar predicament, having gone winless in their last five matches with one draw and four losses. This poor run has likely affected their confidence, and they will need to find a way to turn their fortunes around if they hope to challenge CSKA Moscow effectively. Their inability to secure victories may hinder their motivation going into this match. The model output indicates a win probability for CSKA Moscow, reflecting their status as the favourite in this encounter. However, it's important to note that both teams are experiencing a rough patch, which could lead to an unpredictable outcome. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model utilises expected goals and actual results to analyse fixtures.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.1% probability.
CSKA Moscow have been the stronger side, winning 34% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 CSKA Moscow win as the most likely scoreline at 16.1% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature CSKA Moscow clean sheets, in line with their 3% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. CSKA Moscow are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.47 | 4.50 | 7.60 | 1.83 | 2.03 | 1.95 | 1.76 | |
| 1.50 | 4.58 | 7.70 | 1.87 | 2.08 | 1.95 | 1.78 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (CSKA Moscow leads 6-0)CSKA Moscow hold the edge in this fixture, winning 6 of the last 10 meetings with 4 draws and 0 Krylia Sovetov wins. The record points to a tie CSKA Moscow have controlled for years, though the draws show Krylia Sovetov have at times kept it tight.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonCSKA Moscow have won 6 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Baltika 2-1 and drew with Arsenal Tula 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 8D 11L from the last 29 games (34% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Krylia Sovetov have won 2 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Krylia Sovetov 0-0 and lost to Akron 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 6D 12L from the last 27 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersCSKA Moscow
No reported absences
Krylia Sovetov
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
CSKA Moscow have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Krylia Sovetov 5.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
CSKA Moscow have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 34% of their matches and averaging 1.6 goals per game. They put 3.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. CSKA Moscow player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
