Džiugas Telšiai vs Šiauliai Prediction, Tips & Odds
Džiugas Telšiai vs Šiauliai
Match Preview
The model favours Džiugas Telšiai to win against Šiauliai, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Džiugas Telšiai currently sits in 3rd place in the A Lyga standings, having accumulated 17 points from 10 matches. Their recent form is strong, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches. This performance indicates a solid attack and a resilient defence, as they have scored 12 goals while conceding 11, resulting in a positive goal difference of 1. On the other hand, Šiauliai occupies 9th place with only 8 points from their 10 matches. Their season has been challenging, marked by just one win, five draws, and four losses. They have struggled offensively, scoring only 7 goals while conceding 17, leading to a goal difference of -10. Despite a recent uptick with two wins in their last five matches, they need to improve significantly to compete effectively against higher-ranked teams like Džiugas Telšiai. The model suggests a high probability of a Džiugas Telšiai victory, reflecting their better form and standings. However, a potential caveat is that if Šiauliai can convert their chances more effectively and tighten their defence, they could pose a threat. For a detailed explanation of the prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is provided by the SureTipsPro Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.3% probability.
Džiugas Telšiai have been the stronger side, winning 43% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.3% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Džiugas Telšiai clean sheets, in line with their 43% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Džiugas Telšiai are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Džiugas Telšiai vs Šiauliai| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.73 | 3.60 | 4.20 | 1.70 | 2.05 | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
| 1.70 | 3.54 | 4.15 | 1.71 | 2.00 | 1.65 | 2.03 | |
| 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.73 | 2.05 | |
| 1.77 | 3.68 | 4.15 | 1.74 | 2.06 | — | — | |
| 1.77 | 3.26 | 3.63 | 1.73 | 2.05 | — | — | |
| 1.75 | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.72 | 3.54 | 4.22 | 1.71 | 2.00 | 1.65 | 2.07 | |
| 1.72 | 3.35 | 3.90 | 1.78 | 1.87 | 1.72 | 1.98 | |
Betano | 1.75 | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.67 | 1.95 | — | — |
Superbet | 1.77 | 3.60 | 4.00 | 1.71 | 2.00 | 1.69 | 2.05 |
BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.20 | 3.50 | 1.58 | 1.76 | 1.53 | 1.83 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
A Lyga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 5 | 23 | 25 | WLWWD |
| 2 |  TransINVEST Vilnius | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 3 | Džiugas Telšiai | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 | LLWWD |
| 4 |  Suduva Marijampole | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 16 | WWLWD |
| 5 |  FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 15 | WDDLD |
| 6 |  Banga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 14 | WDWDL |
| 8 |  Hegelmann Litauen | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 | LDLWD |
| 9 | Šiauliai | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  FK Trakai | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 24 | -21 | 3 | LDDLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonDžiugas Telšiai have won 4 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat TransINVEST Vilnius 3-2 and drew with Banga 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 6D 6L from the last 21 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Šiauliai have won 2 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat Šiauliai 1-2 and drew with Šiauliai 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 8D 8L from the last 23 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersDžiugas Telšiai
No reported absences
Šiauliai
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Džiugas Telšiai average 1.3 goals per match at home; Šiauliai 1.1 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Džiugas Telšiai have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 43% of their matches and averaging 1.3 goals per game. Džiugas Telšiai player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.