DC United vs Columbus Crew Prediction, Tips & Odds
DC United vs Columbus Crew
Match Preview
The model favours DC United to win against Columbus Crew, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. DC United currently sits in 11th place with 24 points from 21 matches, boasting a record of five wins, nine draws, and seven losses. Their goal difference of -8 reflects a season where they have scored 28 goals but conceded 36. Recent form suggests some improvement, with one win in their last five matches, which includes two draws and two losses. Columbus Crew, on the other hand, is in 15th place with 20 points, having played the same number of matches as their opponents. Their record of five wins, five draws, and eleven losses indicates a challenging season, with a goal difference of -6. They have scored 30 goals but also conceded 36. Their recent form has been less encouraging, with only one win in their last five matches, alongside one draw and three losses. The model gives DC United a win probability of approximately 55%, while the projected score remains 2-1. A key market percentage shows that DC United is favoured in betting lines as well. However, the caveat here is that both teams have struggled defensively this season, which could lead to an unexpected outcome. For a comprehensive understanding of this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which employs an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.7% probability.
DC United have been the stronger side, winning 21% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. DC United are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
DC United vs Columbus Crew| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.55 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.47 | 3.50 | 2.62 | 1.68 | 2.14 | 1.53 | 2.30 | |
| 2.60 | 3.50 | 2.60 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.53 | 2.45 | |
| 2.50 | 3.62 | 2.76 | 1.71 | 2.20 | — | — | |
| 2.51 | 3.25 | 2.48 | 1.70 | 2.16 | — | — | |
| 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.50 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.30 | |
| 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.62 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.55 | 3.55 | 2.50 | 1.63 | 2.23 | 1.52 | 2.38 | |
| 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 1.67 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.30 | |
Betano | 2.67 | 3.55 | 2.55 | 1.72 | 2.18 | 1.57 | 2.32 |
Superbet | 2.57 | 3.55 | 2.62 | 1.71 | 2.15 | 1.58 | 2.30 |
BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.60 | 1.65 | 2.07 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Columbus Crew leads 6-1)In the last 10 matches between DC United and Columbus Crew, Columbus Crew has won 6 times, DC United has won once, and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines indicate a generally favorable record for Columbus Crew, with several matches ending in their favor by a margin of two goals or more, particularly in their 3-0 and 2-0 victories. The draws have been relatively tight, with two matches finishing 2-2. DC United's only win came back in August 2021, showing it has been a considerable time since they last triumphed over Columbus Crew.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 21 | 29 | 54 | DLDWW |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 46 | LWLWW |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 45 | DDDWL |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 43 | LWDDL |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 43 | WWWDL |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 43 | WWLWD |
| 11 | DC United | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 29 | DWDLL |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 23 | LLWLL |
| 14 |  Seattle Sounders | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 28 | DDDDL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 18 | WLLLD |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 21 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonDC United have won 4 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Atlanta United FC 0-0 and beat Columbus Crew 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 14D 9L from the last 29 games (21% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Columbus Crew have won 3 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 11. Their recent away fixtures include lost to DC United 2-1 and lost to Club America 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 8D 16L from the last 38 games (37% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedDC United4-4-2Confirmed
Columbus Crew4-4-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
6 playersDC United2
Columbus Crew4
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
DC United have averaged 5.9 corners per match at home; Columbus Crew 4.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
DC United have generated 1.59 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 21% of them. They put 6.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. DC United player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
