Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche Prediction, Tips & Odds
Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche
Match Preview
The model favours Elche to win against Deportivo La Coruna, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Elche enters the new season with a solid record from last season, finishing in 5th place. While both teams are starting fresh with no points on the board, Elche's recent form shows resilience with one win and four draws in their last five matches, highlighting their ability to secure points consistently. On the other hand, Deportivo La Coruna, currently positioned 12th, is looking to bounce back after a mixed performance in their last five matches, which includes two wins, two draws, and one loss. Although they have shown some competitiveness, their form does not match the stability that Elche has demonstrated. According to the model's output, Elche has a higher win probability, which reflects their stronger recent form and overall team performance from last season. However, a potential risk for Elche could be starting the season cold, as both teams have yet to play any matches this season. The model's predictions are based on an in-house analysis that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Deportivo La Coruna have kept a clean sheet in 38% of matches. Elche average 1.3 goals per game.
Deportivo La Coruna manage games at home, conceding just 0.75 goals per match. Elche score 1.28 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.8% probability.
Deportivo La Coruna have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.8% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Deportivo La Coruna clean sheets, in line with their 38% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Deportivo La Coruna are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.16 | 3.05 | 3.60 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 1.91 | 1.83 | |
| 2.22 | 3.15 | 3.78 | 2.29 | 1.64 | 1.93 | 1.78 | |
| 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.20 | 1.60 | 1.87 | 1.87 | |
| 2.22 | 3.11 | 3.91 | 2.41 | 1.62 | — | — | |
| 2.23 | 2.95 | 3.11 | 2.31 | 1.64 | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.25 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.83 | |
| 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.80 | 2.30 | 1.62 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 2.26 | 3.20 | 3.84 | 2.36 | 1.69 | 1.93 | 1.80 | |
| 2.16 | 3.05 | 3.75 | 2.23 | 1.64 | 1.89 | 1.83 | |
| 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.30 | 1.60 | 1.95 | 1.83 | |
Betano | 2.18 | 3.05 | 3.75 | 2.30 | 1.65 | 1.90 | 1.85 |
BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.17 | 1.59 | 1.95 | 1.75 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 8 Meetings (evenly matched 3-3)The head-to-head record between Deportivo La Coruna and Elche stands at 3 wins for Deportivo, 2 draws, and 3 wins for Elche over the last 8 matches. This indicates a balanced rivalry, with both teams having an equal number of victories. The scorelines reveal a mix of tight matches, such as the 0-0 draws, and more decisive outcomes, like Deportivo's 4-0 win in 2018 and Elche's 4-0 victory in 2015. The most recent encounter ended in a draw, suggesting a competitive nature in their meetings, with no side dominating the series.
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 9 | LWWW |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 | WLWW |
| 4 | Deportivo La Coruna | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 5 |  Alaves | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 7 | WDW |
| 6 |  Osasuna | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | WWD |
| 18 |  Valencia | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | LLD |
| 19 | Elche | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLD |
| 20 |  Malaga | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 1 | LDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonDeportivo La Coruna have won 4 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Valencia 3-1 and drew with Elche 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 6D 2L from the last 16 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Elche have won 2 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Elche 3-2 and drew with Deportivo La Coruna 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 10D 12L from the last 29 games (24% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedDeportivo La Coruna4-4-2Confirmed
Elche5-4-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
9 playersDeportivo La Coruna5
Elche4
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Deportivo La Coruna average 1.4 goals per match at home; Elche 1.3 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Deportivo La Coruna have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 50% of their matches and averaging 1.4 goals per game. Deportivo La Coruna player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
