Dinamo Tbilisi vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius Prediction, Tips & Odds
Dinamo Tbilisi vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Match Preview
The model favours FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Zalgiris has shown strong form recently, with three wins in their last five matches, including a draw and just one loss. Their consistent performance suggests they are in a good place heading into this fixture. On the other hand, Dinamo Tbilisi has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. While they have shown resilience, their form is less impressive compared to Zalgiris. The mixed results indicate that they may struggle to maintain a winning momentum against a team that is currently performing better. According to the model, Zalgiris has a solid win probability, and their recent form strengthens their position as favourites. However, a potential caveat for Zalgiris could be complacency, as they face a team that may be eager to improve their standing. The full methodology of our prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Dinamo Tbilisi manage games at home, conceding just 1.00 goals per match. FK Zalgiris Vilnius score 1.61 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.0% probability.
Dinamo Tbilisi have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 18.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Dinamo Tbilisi clean sheets, in line with their 29% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Dinamo Tbilisi are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Dinamo Tbilisi vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.12 | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.62 | 1.90 | 1.75 | |
| 2.13 | 3.14 | 3.44 | 2.25 | 1.61 | 1.93 | 1.76 | |
| 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.30 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 2.10 | 3.13 | 3.39 | 2.25 | 1.61 | — | — | |
| 2.02 | 2.87 | 3.06 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.30 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
| 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 1.65 | 2.00 | 1.73 | |
| 2.15 | 3.14 | 3.46 | 2.25 | 1.61 | 1.93 | 1.78 | |
| 2.08 | 3.05 | 3.60 | 2.28 | 1.54 | 1.95 | 1.73 | |
Betano | 2.12 | 3.25 | 3.35 | 2.22 | 1.62 | 1.95 | 1.75 |
Superbet | 2.12 | 3.15 | 3.40 | 2.22 | 1.59 | 1.97 | 1.74 |
BetVictor | 2.15 | 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.15 | 1.60 | 1.93 | 1.78 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between Dinamo Tbilisi and FK Zalgiris Vilnius shows one draw, with no wins for either side. Their only encounter ended in a 0-0 stalemate, indicating a tightly contested match with neither team able to find the back of the net. This scoreline suggests a defensive struggle, with both sides likely prioritizing solidity over attacking flair. As there have been no decisive victories, it remains to be seen how each team will approach future fixtures against one another.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonDinamo Tbilisi have won 4 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Dinamo Tbilisi 3-0 and drew with Dinamo Tbilisi 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 3D 4L from the last 14 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius have won 6 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2-3 and lost to Dinamo Tbilisi 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 5D 12L from the last 33 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedDinamo Tbilisi4-2-3-1Confirmed
FK Zalgiris Vilnius4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersDinamo Tbilisi
No reported absences
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
R. Hensgens has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by R. Hensgens to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Dinamo Tbilisi average 1.8 goals per match at home; FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1.6 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Dinamo Tbilisi have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 50% of their matches and averaging 1.8 goals per game. Dinamo Tbilisi player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
