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Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi Prediction, Tips & Odds

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 13
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
#15 · Liga Profesional Argentina
LLLLD
VS
Aldosivi
#14 · Liga Profesional Argentina
LLWWL
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.47
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.41 (implied 71.1%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 73.6% probability (an expert ratio of 1.36). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (73.6% vs 71.1%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Aldosivi to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Aldosivi currently sits in 14th position, just ahead of Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, and has managed to secure 8 points through a record of 0 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses. Despite their struggles, Aldosivi has shown some resilience, particularly in their last five matches, where they’ve secured two wins. Their goal difference of -13 indicates defensive challenges, but they have scored slightly more than Estudiantes, which could be pivotal in this matchup. Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto finds itself in a challenging position at 15th, having garnered only 5 points from 1 win, 2 draws, and 13 losses. With a goal difference of -19 and having scored just 5 goals all season, their attacking woes are evident. Their recent form indicates a lack of confidence, with three consecutive losses followed by two draws. This trend highlights ongoing difficulties in finding the back of the net, which could hinder their chances against Aldosivi. The model outputs a win probability of approximately 45% for Aldosivi, while Estudiantes has a 25% chance of victory. A key market to watch is the draw, which sits at 30%. One caveat for Aldosivi is their struggle to convert draws into wins, which could lead to an unexpected result if they fail to capitalize on scoring opportunities. The full methodology behind this prediction is available in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Win34%2.67
Draw27%2.88
Aldosivi Win39%2.84
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.6359.2%

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have kept a clean sheet in 24% of matches. Aldosivi average 0.8 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.4167.7%

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto manage games at home, conceding just 1.34 goals per match. Aldosivi score 0.84 on the road.

Correct Score
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1-1 Aldosivi
5.6317.8%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.8% probability.

Asian Handicap
Aldosivi -0.0
1.9433%

Aldosivi have been the stronger side, winning 16% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
5.63
17.8%
0-0
5.99
16.8%
1-0
6.09
16.5%
0-1
6.31
15.9%
2-1
10.70
9.4%
1-2
11.26
8.9%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
-0.0
1.83
Aldosivi
+0.0
1.94
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
-0.5
2.67
Aldosivi
+0.5
2.87
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
-1.5
6.00
Aldosivi
+1.5
6.50

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Aldosivi are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Aldosivi
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
2.652.862.882.621.382.161.60
Betfair
2.633.002.80————
Pinnacle
2.772.952.862.901.41——
SBO
2.502.692.64————
William Hill
2.622.802.80——2.101.67
Bet365
2.702.882.802.881.402.201.62
1xBet
2.712.922.942.621.382.161.62
Betano
2.722.952.922.751.472.151.65
BetVictor
2.702.902.882.901.402.201.60

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
84.5%
Over 1.5 Goals
59.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
32.3%
Over 3.5 Goals
16.4%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto or Draw
61%1.38
12Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto or Aldosivi
73%1.38
X2Draw or Aldosivi
66%1.43

Head to Head

Last 3 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)
0 Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto3 Draw0 Aldosivi
04 Apr
Aldosivi
0-0
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 24
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
2-2
Aldosivi
Primera Nacional
Mar 24
Aldosivi
1-1
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Primera Nacional

In the last three matches between Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and Aldosivi, both teams have not secured a win, resulting in a record of 0 wins for Estudiantes, 0 wins for Aldosivi, and 3 draws. The scorelines indicate a tightly contested rivalry, with all matches ending in draws, including two 1-1 results and one 2-2. This pattern suggests a balanced matchup, as neither team has managed to overpower the other, and the lack of victories for either side highlights the competitive nature of their encounters.

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Estudiantes L.P.
169431971231
DWLWL
1
Independ. Rivadavia
16104229151434
LDWWL
2
River Plate
1692522121029
WLWWW
2
Boca Juniors
168622291330
DWWWD
3
Velez Sarsfield
167721812628
DWDWD
3
Argentinos JRS
168531713429
DWLDD
14
Aldosivi
16088619-138
LLWLW
14
Newells Old Boys
163671527-1215
DWDDD
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
161213524-195
LLLLL
15
Deportivo Riestra
16187512-711
LDDLD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoHome
1W1D6L
8 playedGF 4 · GA 100.50 pts/game
AldosiviAway
0W1D7L
8 playedGF 3 · GA 140.13 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoAldosivi
0.38Goals p.g.0.84
1.34Goals conceded p.g.1.29
24%Clean sheets23%
7%Win rate16%
1.72Avg goals in match2.13
0.58xG per game0.73
-0.19xGA per game-0.23
43%Possession %43%
2.1Shots on target / game3.9
5.0Corners per game4.4
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Recent Form

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have won 2 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 9. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 1-2 and lost to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 2W 7D 20L from the last 29 games (7% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Estudiantes de Rio CuartoAll competitions
11 Oct
River Plate
1-0
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Liga Profesional Argentina
05 Oct
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1-2
Racing Club
Liga Profesional Argentina
20 Sept
Belgrano Cordoba
2-1
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Liga Profesional Argentina
04 Sept
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0-2
Sarmiento Junin
Liga Profesional Argentina
29 Aug
Huracan
1-1
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Liga Profesional Argentina
21 Aug
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0-0
San Lorenzo
Liga Profesional Argentina
2
Win
7%
7
Draw
24%
20
Lost
69%
Aldosivi
Recent Form

Aldosivi have won 1 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 11. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Huracan 1-0 and lost to Argentinos JRS 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 5W 10D 16L from the last 31 games (16% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: AldosiviAll competitions
09 Oct
Aldosivi
1-3
Sarmiento Junin
Liga Profesional Argentina
04 Oct
Huracan
1-0
Aldosivi
Liga Profesional Argentina
21 Sept
Aldosivi
1-0
Atletico Tucuman
Liga Profesional Argentina
05 Sept
Aldosivi
3-1
Banfield
Liga Profesional Argentina
30 Aug
Argentinos JRS
2-1
Aldosivi
Liga Profesional Argentina
26 Aug
Aldosivi
0-2
Independ. Rivadavia
Copa Argentina
5
Win
16%
10
Draw
32%
16
Lost
52%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

No reported absences

Aldosivi

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.41 (67.7%)
BTTS No1.63 (59.2%)
Value Bets
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Win2.67 (33.6%)
Draw2.88 (27.1%)
Aldosivi Win2.84 (39.3%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.78 (32.3%)
Both Teams Score2.16 (40.8%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Aldosivi 4.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Aldosivi have generated 0.73 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 16% of them. They put 3.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Aldosivi player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.