FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC
Match Preview
The model favours FC Dallas to win this match against Los Angeles FC, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. FC Dallas currently sits in 3rd place in the standings, having accumulated 43 points from 25 matches, with a record of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses. Their goal-scoring ability has been notable, with 49 goals scored this season, which highlights their offensive strength. Furthermore, they have shown good form recently, winning three of their last five matches, suggesting they are in a competitive rhythm. On the other hand, Los Angeles FC finds themselves in 6th place with 40 points from 26 matches, thanks to 11 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses. Their defensive record is impressive, having conceded only 27 goals, which indicates a solid backline. However, their recent form has been less than ideal, with only one win in their last five matches, including three draws. This inconsistency could be a significant factor as they approach this match. The model indicates a win probability of FC Dallas at around 55%, with the projected score being 2-1. A key market percentage to consider is the home win odds, which are likely in favour of Dallas. However, a potential caveat is that if Los Angeles can maintain their strong defensive record and find their scoring touch, they could pose a real threat. The full method is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.5% probability.
FC Dallas have been the stronger side, winning 48% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. FC Dallas are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
FC Dallas vs Los Angeles FC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.41 | 3.64 | 2.59 | 1.49 | 2.30 | 1.44 | 2.53 | |
| 2.40 | 3.90 | 2.55 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.50 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.50 | |
| 2.38 | 3.70 | 2.62 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
Betano | 2.42 | 3.75 | 2.70 | 1.55 | 2.52 | 1.45 | 2.60 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Los Angeles FC leads 6-3)In the last 10 matches between FC Dallas and Los Angeles FC, Los Angeles FC has won 6 times, while FC Dallas secured 3 victories and there was 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, with several narrow wins, such as Los Angeles FC's 1-0 victories and a few matches ending in a 2-1 scoreline. However, FC Dallas has also achieved notable wins, including a 3-1 result. Despite FC Dallas's recent successes, Los Angeles FC has generally held the upper hand, winning the majority of the encounters. The last time FC Dallas defeated Los Angeles FC was in 2024.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 21 | 29 | 54 | DLDWW |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 46 | LWLWW |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 45 | DDDWL |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 43 | LWDDL |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 43 | WWWDL |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 43 | WWLWD |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 40 | LWDDD |
| 14 |  Seattle Sounders | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 28 | DDDDL |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 21 | LLLLD |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 18 | WLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFC Dallas have won 6 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Portland Timbers 2-1 and beat Sporting Kansas City 4-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 9D 8L from the last 33 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Los Angeles FC have won 6 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Los Angeles FC 3-1 and drew with Real Salt Lake 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 13D 7L from the last 39 games (49% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFC Dallas
No reported absences
Los Angeles FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
FC Dallas have averaged 4.3 corners per match at home; Los Angeles FC 7.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
FC Dallas have generated 0.90 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 48% of them. They put 4.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC Dallas player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
