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FC Santa Coloma vs Rapid Vienna Prediction, Tips & Odds

FC Santa Coloma vs Rapid Vienna

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
FC Santa Coloma
WWLLL
1 - 3
Estadi Nacional, Andorra la Vella
Referee: M. MacDermid
Rapid Vienna
WWWWW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.45
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.42 (implied 70.4%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 72.9% probability (an expert ratio of 1.37). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (72.9% vs 70.4%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Rapid Vienna to win this match against FC Santa Coloma, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Rapid Vienna has shown a strong performance in their recent matches, remaining unbeaten in their last five fixtures with three wins and two draws. Their consistency is underscored by their ability to score while maintaining a solid defence, which is crucial in knockout competitions. On the other hand, FC Santa Coloma has struggled recently, with only two wins in their last five matches, alongside three losses. This inconsistency could hinder their chances against a more stable opponent like Rapid Vienna. The lack of momentum may impact their confidence and performance on the pitch. According to the model, Rapid Vienna has a significant win probability for this match. However, a potential caveat is that if FC Santa Coloma can leverage their home advantage and exploit any defensive lapses, they could pose a threat. The full methodology, which includes expected goals and actual results across the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, prepared by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
FC Santa Coloma Win24%10.76
Draw16%6.00
Rapid Vienna Win60%1.20
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.9050.0%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.4258.2%

Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
FC Santa Coloma 0-2 Rapid Vienna
6.3315.9%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.9% probability.

Asian Handicap
Rapid Vienna -0.0
1.0154%

Rapid Vienna have been the stronger side, winning 48% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
0-2
6.33
15.9%
0-3
6.99
14.4%
0-1
8.04
12.5%
1-2
8.14
12.5%
1-3
9.21
11.0%
0-4
10.21
9.9%

Our model projects a 0-2 Rapid Vienna win as the most likely scoreline at 15.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
FC Santa Coloma
-0.0
8.40
Rapid Vienna
+0.0
1.01
FC Santa Coloma
-0.5
8.50
Rapid Vienna
+0.5
1.21

Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Rapid Vienna are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

FC Santa Coloma vs Rapid Vienna
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
12.005.601.211.422.701.831.80
Marathonbet
12.006.401.191.412.521.951.74
Betfair
11.006.001.151.402.751.871.87
Pinnacle
11.876.761.161.422.66
SBO
8.105.321.17
William Hill
11.006.001.221.951.75
Bet365
9.505.251.221.442.621.911.80
1xBet
11.806.401.201.412.521.951.76
Unibet
10.005.801.241.382.701.771.91
Betano
10.255.801.231.452.571.931.78
Superbet
9.606.201.211.432.621.951.76
BetVictor
12.006.501.201.452.511.911.78

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
93.4%
Over 1.5 Goals
82.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
58.2%
Over 3.5 Goals
44.4%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XFC Santa Coloma or Draw
41%3.98
12FC Santa Coloma or Rapid Vienna
84%1.10
X2Draw or Rapid Vienna
76%1.03

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Rapid Vienna leads 1-0)
0 FC Santa Coloma0 Draw1 Rapid Vienna
23 Jul
FC Santa Coloma
1-3
Rapid Vienna
UEFA Europa Conference League

The head-to-head record between FC Santa Coloma and Rapid Vienna shows one match played, with Rapid Vienna winning that encounter 3-1. This result indicates a decisive victory for Rapid Vienna, suggesting they had a stronger performance in that fixture. The single match means there is limited data to analyze trends or patterns, but the scoreline reflects a relatively one-sided outcome. FC Santa Coloma has not yet secured a win against Rapid Vienna in their only meeting to date.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
FC Santa ColomaRapid Vienna
1.67Goals p.g.1.59
0.67Goals conceded p.g.1.28
67%Clean sheets28%
67%Win rate48%
2.33Avg goals in match2.86
xG per game0.59
xGA per game0.00
Possession %60%
Shots on target / game2.6
Corners per game5.0
FC Santa Coloma
Recent Form

FC Santa Coloma have won 4 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Penybont 3-0 and lost to Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 2-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 1D 3L from the last 12 games (67% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: FC Santa ColomaAll competitions
16 Jul
FC Santa Coloma
3-0
Penybont
UEFA Europa Conference League
09 Jul
Penybont
0-1
FC Santa Coloma
UEFA Europa Conference League
23 May
FC Santa Coloma
2-3
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Copa Constitució
16 May
Ranger's
2-0
FC Santa Coloma
1a Divisió
10 May
FC Santa Coloma
0-1
Ordino
1a Divisió
30 Apr
FC Santa Coloma
3-0
UE Santa Coloma
Copa Constitució
8
Win
67%
1
Draw
8%
3
Lost
25%
Rapid Vienna
Recent Form

Rapid Vienna have won 4 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include beat Rapid Vienna 0-3 and beat FC Santa Coloma 1-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 14W 6D 9L from the last 29 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Rapid ViennaAll competitions
26 Jul
Wienerberg
0-3
Rapid Vienna
Cup
23 Jul
FC Santa Coloma
1-3
Rapid Vienna
UEFA Europa Conference League
18 Jul
Rapid Vienna
3-2
Hamburger SV
Friendlies Clubs
15 Jul
Rapid Vienna
4-1
Panathinaikos
Friendlies Clubs
12 Jul
WSPG Wels
1-2
Rapid Vienna
Friendlies Clubs
05 Jul
Rapid Vienna
0-0
Rapid
Friendlies Clubs
14
Win
48%
6
Draw
21%
9
Lost
31%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

FC Santa Coloma

No reported absences

Rapid Vienna

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Rapid Vienna Win1.20 (59.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.42 (58.2%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.62 (41.8%)
Both Teams Score1.90 (50%)
BTTS No1.80 (50%)
Speculative
FC Santa Coloma Win10.76 (24.4%)
Draw6.00 (16.1%)

Yellow Card Prediction

M. MacDermid has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by M. MacDermid to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

FC Santa Coloma average 1.7 goals per match at home; Rapid Vienna 1.6 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Rapid Vienna have generated 0.59 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 48% of them. They put 2.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rapid Vienna player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.