FC Thun vs Servette FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC Thun vs Servette FC
Match Preview
The model favours FC Thun to win this matchup against Servette FC, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. FC Thun currently sits in 9th place after three matches, having secured one win but suffering two losses. Their goal difference of -6 indicates defensive vulnerabilities, yet their ability to score five goals shows they can find the back of the net when needed. On the other hand, Servette FC is positioned slightly higher in 7th place, also with one win and two losses. Their goal difference of -1 suggests a more balanced performance defensively, having conceded four goals while scoring three. This indicates that Servette has struggled to convert chances into goals, which could be a critical factor in this encounter. The model assigns FC Thun a win probability of approximately 55%, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is FC Thun's recent inconsistency, as evidenced by their mixed form of two wins and three losses in the last five matches. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.4% probability.
Servette FC have been the stronger side, winning 43% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Servette FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
FC Thun vs Servette FC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.78 | 3.58 | 2.31 | 1.46 | 2.39 | 1.42 | 2.61 | |
| 2.84 | 3.68 | 2.35 | 1.54 | 2.50 | — | — | |
| 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.30 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.60 | |
| 2.79 | 3.58 | 2.33 | 1.46 | 2.39 | 1.42 | 2.66 | |
| 2.75 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.53 | 2.40 | 1.44 | 2.60 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 8 Meetings (FC Thun leads 5-3)In the last eight matches between FC Thun and Servette FC, FC Thun has won five times, while Servette FC has secured three victories, with no draws. The scorelines indicate a tendency for FC Thun to achieve substantial wins, as evidenced by their 4-1 and 5-1 victories. However, Servette FC has also had success, including a 4-0 win in their favor, which highlights that the matches can yield significant margins. The most recent meeting in February 2026 saw FC Thun winning 3-1, while Servette FC's last victory was in February 2020, suggesting that FC Thun has been more dominant lately.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  BSC Young Boys | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 7 | DWW |
| 3 |  FC ST. Gallen | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | DWW |
| 4 |  FC Sion | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 | WWL |
| 5 |  FC Basel 1893 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WLW |
| 6 |  Lausanne | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWD |
| 7 | Servette FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 9 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLW |
| 10 |  Grasshoppers | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | LLD |
| 11 |  FC Luzern | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | DLL |
| 12 |  FC Vaduz | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 0 | LLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFC Thun have won 8 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat FC Thun 3-0 and lost to FC Thun 0-6.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 4D 11L from the last 30 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Servette FC have won 4 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat Servette FC 0-7 and lost to FC Zurich 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 10D 6L from the last 28 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFC Thun
No reported absences
Servette FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
FC Thun have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Servette FC 7.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Servette FC have generated 1.42 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 43% of them. They put 4.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Servette FC player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.