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FK Partizan vs UNA Strassen Prediction, Tips & Odds

FK Partizan vs UNA Strassen

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
FK Partizan
WWDWD
4 - 0
Stadion Partizana, Belgrade
Referee: D. Sakhi
UNA Strassen
LWWWD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams Not to Score
One side looks comfortably the stronger and is likely to keep things clean — BTTS No is the value pick.
BTTS
1.80
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.55 (implied 64.5%) for Both Teams Not to Score. Our experts calculate a 67.0% probability (an expert ratio of 1.49). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (67.0% vs 64.5%), driven by the stronger side's ability to control the game and keep a clean sheet. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours FK Partizan to win against UNA Strassen, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. FK Partizan's recent form shows three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, indicating a solid performance overall. Their ability to secure victories in crucial moments will be vital as they seek to progress in the competition. On the other hand, UNA Strassen has been unbeaten in their last five matches, with three wins and two draws. This strong run of form suggests they are a resilient side, capable of challenging their opponents. Their consistency will be tested as they face a team with a more extensive competitive history in European tournaments. According to the model output, FK Partizan has a win probability of approximately 60%, while UNA Strassen's chances sit at around 25%. However, the caveat for FK Partizan is their recent loss, which could impact their confidence. The full method used to reach this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, which utilizes an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results across the season. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs this approach to provide insights into match outcomes.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
FK Partizan Win70%1.14
Draw14%7.79
UNA Strassen Win16%14.03
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.5555.6%

FK Partizan have kept a clean sheet in 31% of matches. UNA Strassen average 1.2 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.4656.1%

Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
FK Partizan 2-0 UNA Strassen
5.2219.3%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 19.3% probability.

Asian Handicap
FK Partizan -0.5
1.2664%

FK Partizan have been the stronger side, winning 54% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
2-0
5.22
19.3%
3-0
5.74
17.6%
1-0
7.13
14.1%
4-0
8.10
12.6%
2-1
9.62
10.6%
3-1
10.21
9.9%

Our model projects a 2-0 FK Partizan win as the most likely scoreline at 19.3% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature FK Partizan clean sheets, in line with their 31% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
FK Partizan
-0.0
1.13
UNA Strassen
+0.0
8.57
FK Partizan
-0.5
1.26
UNA Strassen
+0.5
7.20

Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. FK Partizan are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

FK Partizan vs UNA Strassen
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.137.5014.001.502.502.451.45
Marathonbet
1.109.5015.501.412.522.261.55
Betfair
1.088.5014.001.452.552.551.44
Pinnacle
1.0710.2820.691.452.56
SBO
1.175.138.49
William Hill
1.118.5017.002.401.53
Bet365
1.148.0011.001.502.502.501.50
1xBet
1.109.5015.501.412.522.261.57
Unibet
1.176.7513.001.442.552.151.60
Betano
1.166.5014.501.502.502.321.53
Superbet
1.275.807.701.492.451.901.80
BetVictor
1.137.5017.001.482.412.301.53

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
Over 2.5 Goals
56.1%
Over 3.5 Goals
42.4%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XFK Partizan or Draw
84%1.02
12FK Partizan or UNA Strassen
86%1.07
X2Draw or UNA Strassen
31%4.93

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (FK Partizan leads 1-0)
1 FK Partizan0 Draw0 UNA Strassen
23 Jul
FK Partizan
2-0
UNA Strassen
UEFA Europa Conference League

In their only past meeting, FK Partizan has won against UNA Strassen with a record of 1 win and 0 draws. The match ended with a score of 2-0 in favor of FK Partizan, indicating a clear victory rather than a tightly contested match. This result suggests a one-sided encounter, as UNA Strassen has yet to score in their head-to-head match-up. Since there is only one fixture in this record, it does not provide a comprehensive view of their historical rivalry, but FK Partizan’s win establishes an early dominance.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
FK PartizanUNA Strassen
2Goals p.g.1.17
1.15Goals conceded p.g.0.67
31%Clean sheets67%
54%Win rate50%
3.15Avg goals in match1.83
FK Partizan
Recent Form

FK Partizan have won 4 of their last 5 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include beat FK Partizan 4-0 and beat FK Partizan 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 4D 2L from the last 13 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: FK PartizanAll competitions
26 Jul
Macva
1-3
FK Partizan
Super Liga
23 Jul
FK Partizan
4-0
UNA Strassen
UEFA Europa Conference League
18 Jul
Zemun
2-2
FK Partizan
Super Liga
11 Jul
Nafta
1-4
FK Partizan
Friendlies Clubs
10 Jul
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2-2
FK Partizan
Friendlies Clubs
06 Jul
FK Partizan
1-0
Neftchi Baku
Friendlies Clubs
7
Win
54%
4
Draw
31%
2
Lost
15%
UNA Strassen
Recent Form

UNA Strassen have won 1 of their last 6 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include lost to UNA Strassen 4-0 and beat La Fiorita 0-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 4D 2L from the last 12 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: UNA StrassenAll competitions
23 Jul
FK Partizan
4-0
UNA Strassen
UEFA Europa Conference League
14 Jul
La Fiorita
0-2
UNA Strassen
UEFA Europa Conference League
07 Jul
UNA Strassen
1-0
La Fiorita
UEFA Europa Conference League
27 Jun
UNA Strassen
2-0
Victoria Rosport
Friendlies Clubs
19 Jun
FC Differdange 03
1-1
UNA Strassen
Friendlies Clubs
23 May
UNA Strassen
0-0
US Mondorf-les-bains
National Division
6
Win
50%
4
Draw
33%
2
Lost
17%

Lineups

Confirmed

FK Partizan4-3-3Confirmed

23Stefan MitrovićDEF
30Milan RoganovićDEF
44Stefan MilićDEF
9Erik KojzekFWD
31Miloš KrunićGK
20Samson NwuluMID
39Ibrahim ZubairuMID
19Demba SeckMID
11Milan VukotićMID
8Aleks ZekovićMID
36Ognjen UgrešićMID
24Vukašin ĐurđevićDEF
33Stefan PetrovićDEF
89JehFWD
42Matija NinićFWD
46Marko LekićFWD
1Marko MiloševićGK
90Zoran AlilovićMID
70Dimitrije JankovićMID
32Nemanja TrifunovićMID
17Milan AleksićMID
7Chaka TraorèMID
99Bogdan KostićMID

UNA Strassen3-5-2Confirmed

34Tim HallDEF
3Kino DelorgeDEF
94Daryl MyreDEF
44Babou SeyeFWD
90Nicolas PerezFWD
67Koray OzcanGK
10Edis AgovićMID
11Omar NatamiMID
6Eldin RastoderMID
28Valentin SteinmetzMID
5Galaye GueyeMID
14Alexandre SacrasDEF
20Alen AgovicDEF
27Lamine TouréDEF
7MatheusFWD
22Diogo GarridoGK
99Ivan MarquesGK
18David DadashevMID
17João TeixeiraMID
9Amine ZenadjiMID
8Jimmy GoncalvesMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

FK Partizan

No reported absences

UNA Strassen

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
FK Partizan Win1.14 (69.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.46 (56.1%)
BTTS No1.55 (55.6%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.51 (43.9%)
Both Teams Score2.31 (44.4%)
Speculative
Draw7.79 (14.4%)
UNA Strassen Win14.03 (16.2%)

Yellow Card Prediction

D. Sakhi has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by D. Sakhi to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

FK Partizan average 2.0 goals per match at home; UNA Strassen 1.2 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

FK Partizan have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 54% of their matches and averaging 2.0 goals per game. FK Partizan player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score No

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.