FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Trakai Prediction, Tips & Odds
FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Trakai
Match Preview
The model favours FK Zalgiris Vilnius to win against FK Trakai, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Zalgiris currently sits in fifth place in the A Lyga, having accumulated 15 points from their first ten matches. Their season has shown a mix of results with four wins, three draws, and three losses. The team has managed to score 14 goals while conceding 10, indicating a solid goal difference of +4, which highlights their competitive edge in matches. In contrast, FK Trakai is struggling at the bottom of the standings in tenth place with just 3 points. They have yet to secure a win this season, with their record reflecting seven losses and three draws from ten matches. Their offensive struggles are evident, having scored only 3 goals while conceding 24, resulting in a goal difference of -21. This lack of scoring power will likely be a significant hurdle in their upcoming match. The model indicates a strong likelihood of Zalgiris securing the win, with a high win probability based on their current form and standings. However, one caveat to consider is that football can be unpredictable, and if Zalgiris underperforms or faces unexpected challenges, the outcome could differ. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis has been prepared by the SureTipsPro Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (1.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.4% probability.
FK Zalgiris Vilnius have been the stronger side, winning 36% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius win as the most likely scoreline at 15.4% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature FK Zalgiris Vilnius clean sheets, in line with their 27% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. FK Zalgiris Vilnius are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs FK Trakai| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.15 | 6.40 | 12.00 | 1.30 | 3.25 | 1.83 | 1.80 | |
| 1.11 | 7.10 | 14.25 | 1.28 | 3.05 | 1.85 | 1.79 | |
| 1.12 | 7.00 | 13.00 | 1.29 | 3.30 | 1.87 | 1.87 | |
| 1.15 | 7.58 | 11.96 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.17 | 6.50 | 13.00 | — | — | 1.83 | 1.85 | |
| 1.18 | 7.00 | 13.00 | 1.30 | 3.40 | — | — | |
| 1.11 | 7.10 | 14.20 | 1.28 | 3.05 | 1.85 | 1.82 | |
| 1.06 | 8.00 | 15.00 | 1.26 | 3.30 | 2.02 | 1.68 | |
Betano | 1.17 | 5.90 | 12.00 | — | — | — | — |
Superbet | 1.15 | 7.10 | 11.00 | 1.31 | 2.90 | 1.95 | 1.77 |
BetVictor | 1.11 | 5.25 | 9.00 | 1.25 | 2.55 | 1.67 | 1.67 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
A Lyga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 5 | 23 | 25 | WLWWD |
| 2 |  TransINVEST Vilnius | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 3 |  Džiugas Telšiai | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 | LLWWD |
| 4 |  Suduva Marijampole | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 16 | WWLWD |
| 5 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 15 | WDDLD |
| 6 |  Banga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 14 | WDWDL |
| 8 |  Hegelmann Litauen | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 | LDLWD |
| 9 |  Šiauliai | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 | LWLDD |
| 10 | FK Trakai | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 24 | -21 | 3 | LDDLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFK Zalgiris Vilnius have won 6 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Hegelmann Litauen 1-3 and beat Šiauliai 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 4D 10L from the last 22 games (36% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
FK Trakai have won 1 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to FK Trakai 2-0 and lost to FK Trakai 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 3W 6D 14L from the last 23 games (13% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFK Zalgiris Vilnius
No reported absences
FK Trakai
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
FK Zalgiris Vilnius average 1.4 goals per match at home; FK Trakai 0.5 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
FK Zalgiris Vilnius have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 36% of their matches and averaging 1.4 goals per game. FK Zalgiris Vilnius player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.