Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints Prediction, Tips & Odds
Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints
Match Preview
The model favours Flora Tallinn to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against The New Saints. Flora Tallinn has shown a slightly stronger form in their recent matches, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games. This consistency, particularly their ability to secure victories at home, positions them well for this matchup. On the other hand, The New Saints have had a mixed run, also recording two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five fixtures. However, their recent performances suggest a struggle to maintain momentum, especially when facing teams with a solid home advantage like Flora Tallinn. The New Saints will need to improve their defensive organization to avoid conceding goals, which has been a concern in their recent outings. The model indicates a win probability of around 55% for Flora Tallinn, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is Flora Tallinn's inconsistency in form, particularly after a loss, which could impact their performance. For a detailed breakdown of how these predictions were reached, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilizes an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season to inform these predictions.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.2% probability.
Flora Tallinn have been the stronger side, winning 64% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Flora Tallinn are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.26 | 3.45 | 2.80 | 1.77 | 2.00 | 1.60 | 2.10 | |
| 2.22 | 3.58 | 2.86 | 1.69 | 2.11 | 1.57 | 2.22 | |
| 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.75 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.57 | 2.30 | |
| 2.17 | 3.60 | 2.84 | 1.68 | 2.14 | — | — | |
| 2.11 | 3.06 | 2.69 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.80 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 2.15 | 3.50 | 2.75 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.24 | 3.58 | 2.88 | 1.69 | 2.11 | 1.57 | 2.26 | |
| 2.28 | 3.50 | 2.85 | 1.71 | 1.98 | 1.60 | 2.15 | |
Betano | 2.25 | 3.55 | 2.85 | 1.70 | 2.07 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Superbet | 2.27 | 3.45 | 2.85 | 1.70 | 2.05 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.90 | 1.65 | 2.07 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Flora Tallinn leads 1-0)In their only past encounter, Flora Tallinn won against The New Saints with a score of 1-0. This narrow victory indicates a tightly contested match, with no draws or heavy wins recorded between the teams. The New Saints have yet to secure a win in this head-to-head record, and it has been a while since they faced Flora Tallinn, making it challenging to assess any recent competitive trends. Overall, the single fixture suggests that Flora Tallinn holds a slight edge, but the limited sample size means any conclusions should be drawn with caution.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonFlora Tallinn have won 11 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include beat The New Saints 1-0 and lost to Nõmme United 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 2D 10L from the last 33 games (64% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
The New Saints have won 6 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include lost to The New Saints 1-0 and lost to Sabah FA 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 1D 5L from the last 15 games (60% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedFlora Tallinn4-3-3Confirmed
The New Saints4-3-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersFlora Tallinn
No reported absences
The New Saints
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
K. Karlsson has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by K. Karlsson to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Flora Tallinn average 2.0 goals per match at home; The New Saints 1.7 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Flora Tallinn have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 64% of their matches and averaging 2.0 goals per game. Flora Tallinn player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
