Fluminense vs Remo Prediction, Tips & Odds
Fluminense vs Remo
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The model favours Fluminense to win against Remo, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Fluminense currently sits in 4th place in the Serie A standings, having accumulated 34 points from 21 matches. Their performance has been solid overall, with a record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, resulting in a goal difference of +5. However, their recent form has been concerning, as they have not secured a win in their last five matches, which includes four draws and one loss. In contrast, Remo finds itself struggling at 19th in the league, with only 21 points from the same number of matches. Their record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, combined with a goal difference of -10, highlights their difficulties this season. Despite a slight uptick in form with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches, they remain in the relegation zone and will need to improve significantly to climb the standings. The model suggests Fluminense has a win probability of approximately 60%, with a projected score of 2-0. One key market percentage indicates that the odds for Fluminense to win are around 50%. However, a potential caveat is Fluminense's recent inability to secure victories, which could lead to an unexpected result if they fail to convert chances. The full methodology used in this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as our in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Fluminense have kept a clean sheet in 32% of matches. Remo average 1.2 goals per game.
Fluminense manage games at home, conceding just 1.02 goals per match. Remo score 1.21 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.3% probability.
Fluminense have been the stronger side, winning 45% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Fluminense win as the most likely scoreline at 17.3% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Fluminense clean sheets, in line with their 32% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Fluminense are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Fluminense vs Remo| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.40 | 4.30 | 8.20 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
| 1.46 | 4.15 | 6.85 | 1.94 | 1.83 | 2.06 | 1.66 | |
| 1.44 | 4.10 | 7.00 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 2.10 | 1.73 | |
| 1.50 | 4.29 | 7.40 | 2.01 | 1.88 | — | — | |
| 1.46 | 3.84 | 6.18 | 2.01 | 1.83 | — | — | |
| 1.44 | 4.20 | 6.50 | — | — | 2.10 | 1.67 | |
| 1.50 | 3.90 | 8.00 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 2.05 | 1.70 | |
| 1.50 | 4.27 | 7.04 | 1.98 | 1.86 | 2.06 | 1.68 | |
| 1.46 | 4.10 | 7.00 | 1.92 | 1.84 | 2.05 | 1.68 | |
| 1.44 | 4.20 | 6.50 | 1.91 | 1.83 | 2.10 | 1.67 | |
Betano | 1.52 | 4.15 | 8.00 | 2.00 | 1.85 | 2.05 | 1.72 |
Superbet | 1.48 | 4.35 | 6.70 | 1.92 | 1.88 | 2.10 | 1.69 |
BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.20 | 7.00 | 1.90 | 1.78 | 2.05 | 1.67 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Fluminense leads 1-0)Fluminense has won 1 of the last 1 match against Remo, with no draws or wins for Remo. The single match ended with a score of 2-0 in favor of Fluminense, indicating a solid victory. This result suggests that Fluminense has had a clear edge in their recent encounter, with a decisive margin that reflects their dominance in the match. Remo has not won against Fluminense in this head-to-head history, which may highlight a challenge for them moving forward.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 21 | 30 | 54 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 52 | DWLDW |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 45 | LDWDW |
| 4 | Fluminense | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 45 | WDWWD |
| 5 |  Bahia | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 43 | WWWDD |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 42 | WLWWW |
| 19 | Remo | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 23 | LLLDD |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 | |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 14 | LWDLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFluminense have won 16 of their last 25 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Vasco DA Gama 1-0 and beat Remo 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 20W 16D 8L from the last 44 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Remo have won 4 of their last 21 matches on the road, drawing 8 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Fluminense 2-1 and drew with Internacional 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 13D 15L from the last 38 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
13 playersFluminense8
Remo5
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
J. Vitor Gobi has averaged 1.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Fluminense have averaged 4.7 corners per match at home; Remo 4.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Fluminense have generated 1.18 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 45% of them. They put 4.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Fluminense player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
