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FYR Macedonia vs Switzerland Prediction, Tips & Odds

FYR Macedonia vs Switzerland

UEFA Nations League1
FYR Macedonia
#4 · UEFA Nations League
LDDLL
VS
Switzerland
#2 · UEFA Nations League
LDWWW
★ OUR PICK
Switzerland to Win
Strong away form and superior underlying numbers over FYR Macedonia make Switzerland the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.42
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.37 (implied 72.8%) for Switzerland to Win. Our experts calculate a 75.3% probability (an expert ratio of 1.33). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (75.3% vs 72.8%), driven by Switzerland's stronger form and superior underlying numbers. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

Switzerland enters this knockout match against FYR Macedonia with a stronger recent competitive form, having secured three wins in their last eight competitive fixtures, compared to FYR Macedonia, who have faced four losses in the same span. Switzerland's ability to score, as evidenced by their multiple victories, contrasts sharply with FYR Macedonia's struggles, including a run of four consecutive defeats. This match is critical, as the winner will advance, while the loser will be eliminated from the UEFA Nations League. While both teams are yet to begin their group stage in League B, Switzerland's competitive experience appears to give them an edge. They have demonstrated a more reliable offensive capability, highlighted by their recent 4-1 win against Jordan and a solid performance against Bosnia & Herzegovina. FYR Macedonia, on the other hand, has struggled to find the back of the net, with a series of goalless draws and heavy defeats. A key caveat to consider is the neutral venue, which removes any home advantage for either side. This can sometimes lead to unpredictable outcomes in knockout matches. Overall, while Switzerland's recent form and goal-scoring ability suggest they may have the upper hand, the uncertainty of tournament football means anything can happen. The Daily Punt Analysis Team has assessed this fixture through an in-house model that interprets aggregated bookmaker probabilities and the tournament context.

About the Teams

FYR Macedonia

Profile data not available yet.

Recent matches
Lat Türkiye 0-4Friendly
Dat Bosnia & Herzegovina 0-0Friendly
Dat Rep. Of Ireland 0-0Friendly
Lat Denmark 0-4World Cup - Qualification Europe
Lat Wales 1-7World Cup - Qualification Europe
Dvs Latvia 0-0Friendly

Switzerland

Profile data not available yet.

Recent matches
Lat Argentina 1-3World Cup
Dvs Colombia 0-0World Cup
Wvs Algeria 2-0World Cup
Wvs Canada 2-1World Cup
Wvs Bosnia & Herzegovina 4-1World Cup
Dat Qatar 1-1World Cup

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
FYR Macedonia Win21%7.52
Draw18%4.64
Switzerland Win61%1.37
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.7652.6%

FYR Macedonia have kept a clean sheet in 50% of matches. Switzerland average 2.1 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.7553.4%

Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
FYR Macedonia 0-1 Switzerland
6.1316.4%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.4% probability.

Asian Handicap
Switzerland -0.0
1.1155%

Switzerland have been the stronger side, winning 53% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
0-1
6.13
16.4%
0-2
6.16
16.3%
1-2
7.69
13.2%
1-1
8.22
12.3%
0-3
8.71
11.5%
1-3
11.01
9.2%

Our model projects a 0-1 Switzerland win as the most likely scoreline at 16.4% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
FYR Macedonia
-0.0
5.95
Switzerland
+0.0
1.11
FYR Macedonia
-1.5
13.00
Switzerland
+1.5
2.20

Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Switzerland are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

FYR Macedonia vs Switzerland
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
8.204.951.391.762.091.981.74
Betfair
7.504.401.33
Pinnacle
7.734.901.381.742.10
SBO
6.764.241.32
William Hill
7.504.401.401.911.83
Bet365
7.004.751.361.752.052.001.73
1xBet
8.104.951.401.762.091.981.75
Betano
7.404.701.421.802.072.001.75
BetVictor
7.504.501.361.701.991.951.75

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
92.3%
Over 1.5 Goals
76.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
53.4%
Over 3.5 Goals
33.5%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XFYR Macedonia or Draw
39%2.95
12FYR Macedonia or Switzerland
82%1.17
X2Draw or Switzerland
79%1.09

Head to Head

No head-to-head data available.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
FYR MacedoniaSwitzerland
0.8Goals p.g.2.12
1.8Goals conceded p.g.0.82
50%Clean sheets47%
10%Win rate53%
2.6Avg goals in match2.94
1.27xG per game1.65
xGA per game-0.51
42%Possession %56%
3.0Shots on target / game4.8
2.9Corners per game4.1
FYR Macedonia
Recent Form

FYR Macedonia have won 1 of their last 3 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 0. Their recent home fixtures include drew with FYR Macedonia 0-0 and drew with FYR Macedonia 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 1W 5D 4L from the last 10 games (10% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: FYR MacedoniaAll competitions
01 Jun
Türkiye
4-0
FYR Macedonia
Friendlies
29 May
Bosnia & Herzegovina
0-0
FYR Macedonia
Friendlies
31 Mar
Rep. Of Ireland
0-0
FYR Macedonia
Friendlies
26 Mar
Denmark
4-0
FYR Macedonia
World Cup - Qualification Europe
Nov 25
Wales
7-1
FYR Macedonia
World Cup - Qualification Europe
Nov 25
FYR Macedonia
0-0
Latvia
Friendlies
1
Win
10%
5
Draw
50%
4
Lost
40%
Switzerland
Recent Form

Switzerland have won 2 of their last 7 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Switzerland 3-1 and drew with Qatar 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 9W 6D 2L from the last 17 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: SwitzerlandAll competitions
12 Jul
Argentina
3-1
Switzerland
World Cup
07 Jul
Switzerland
0-0
Colombia
World Cup
03 Jul
Switzerland
2-0
Algeria
World Cup
24 Jun
Switzerland
2-1
Canada
World Cup
18 Jun
Switzerland
4-1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
World Cup
13 Jun
Qatar
1-1
Switzerland
World Cup
9
Win
53%
6
Draw
35%
2
Lost
12%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

National-team lineups are genuinely unknown until 1 to 2 hours before kick-off, when the starting XI is confirmed. Until then, only predicted lineups are possible.

Unavailable Players

0 players

FYR Macedonia

No reported absences

Switzerland

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Switzerland Win1.37 (61.2%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.75 (53.4%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.06 (46.6%)
Both Teams Score1.97 (47.4%)
BTTS No1.76 (52.6%)
Speculative
FYR Macedonia Win7.52 (20.6%)
Draw4.64 (18.2%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

FYR Macedonia have averaged 2.9 corners per match at home; Switzerland 4.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Switzerland have generated 1.65 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 53% of them. They put 4.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Switzerland player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Switzerland to Win

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.