Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe Prediction, Tips & Odds
Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe
Match Preview
The model favours Fenerbahçe to win against Gaziantep FK, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Fenerbahçe currently sits in third place in the league standings, having played three matches this season, securing two wins and one loss, resulting in a total of six points. They have shown strong attacking capabilities, scoring seven goals, which highlights their offensive strength. With a goal difference of plus three, their form suggests they are a competitive side this season. In contrast, Gaziantep FK occupies the 11th position, having garnered four points from their three matches with one win, one draw, and one loss. While they have managed to score three goals, their defensive record is equal, conceding three as well. This balance shows that they have been able to hold their own, but they may struggle against a more potent attack like that of Fenerbahçe. The model indicates a win probability of approximately 60% for Fenerbahçe, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is Gaziantep's resilience at home, which could disrupt Fenerbahçe's attacking rhythm. The full methodology of our prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilises an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.1% probability.
Fenerbahçe have been the stronger side, winning 67% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-1 Fenerbahçe win as the most likely scoreline at 14.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Fenerbahçe are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Gaziantep FK vs Fenerbahçe| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 5.95 | 4.20 | 1.50 | 1.69 | 2.13 | 1.77 | 1.92 | |
| 6.00 | 4.20 | 1.47 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.75 | 2.05 | |
| 6.13 | 4.39 | 1.55 | 1.73 | 2.19 | — | — | |
| 4.94 | 3.71 | 1.48 | 1.72 | 2.11 | — | — | |
| 5.50 | 4.00 | 1.50 | — | — | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 5.75 | 4.10 | 1.50 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 6.19 | 4.37 | 1.56 | 1.74 | 2.19 | 1.76 | 1.96 | |
Betano | 6.20 | 4.40 | 1.57 | 1.75 | 2.15 | 1.80 | 1.95 |
BetVictor | 6.00 | 4.20 | 1.50 | 1.66 | 2.06 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Fenerbahçe leads 10-0)In the last 10 matches between Gaziantep FK and Fenerbahçe, Fenerbahçe has won all 10 encounters, with Gaziantep FK failing to secure a single victory or draw. The scorelines indicate a dominant performance by Fenerbahçe, with several heavy wins, including four matches ending with a margin of three goals or more. Gaziantep FK has only managed to score in four of these matches, highlighting a trend of low-scoring outcomes for them. The absence of any victories for Gaziantep FK extends the length of their winless streak against Fenerbahçe, emphasizing the one-sided nature of this rivalry.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 | WWWD |
| 2 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 | WWLW |
| 3 |  Kocaelispor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 | WWWL |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 7 | WLWD |
| 5 |  Amed | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | DWLW |
| 6 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 7 | LDWW |
| 7 | Fenerbahçe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 | LWWL |
| 11 | Gaziantep FK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | LWD |
| 16 |  Eyüpspor | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWLL |
| 17 |  Göztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 | LLD |
| 18 |  Konyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonGaziantep FK have won 2 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Rizespor 1-2 and lost to Başakşehir 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 6D 11L from the last 24 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Fenerbahçe have won 10 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat Samsunspor 0-2 and beat Lyon 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 20W 5D 5L from the last 30 games (67% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersGaziantep FK
No reported absences
Fenerbahçe
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
M. Turkmen has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by M. Turkmen to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Gaziantep FK have averaged 5.8 corners per match at home; Fenerbahçe 6.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Fenerbahçe have generated 1.85 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 67% of them. They put 7.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Fenerbahçe player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
