Hradec Králové vs Tromso Prediction, Tips & Odds
Hradec Králové vs Tromso
Match Preview
The model favours Hradec Králové to win this match against Tromso, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Hradec Králové has shown solid form recently, boasting three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. This indicates a competitive edge, particularly as they look to leverage home advantage in this crucial Europa League qualifier. On the other hand, Tromso has had a mixed bag of results with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. While they have shown resilience, their inability to secure consistent victories may hinder their performance in a high-stakes away match. The model suggests a win probability leaning towards Hradec Králové, with them projected to score two goals. One key market to note is the potential for Hradec Králové to secure a clean sheet, given their recent defensive performances. However, a caveat exists; if Tromso can capitalise on set pieces or counter-attacks, they might disrupt Hradec Králové’s plans. The full methodology of our prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as our in-house model evaluates fixtures using expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.9% probability.
Tromso have been the stronger side, winning 58% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Tromso are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Hradec Králové vs Tromso| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.12 | 1.85 | 1.93 | 1.67 | 2.05 | |
| 3.08 | 3.54 | 2.15 | 1.85 | 1.92 | 1.68 | 2.03 | |
| 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 1.65 | 2.20 | |
| 3.00 | 3.53 | 2.13 | 1.85 | 1.93 | — | — | |
| 2.82 | 3.04 | 2.14 | 1.89 | 1.89 | — | — | |
| 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.05 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.10 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 3.17 | 3.64 | 2.21 | 1.88 | 1.96 | 1.68 | 2.06 | |
| 3.15 | 3.45 | 2.12 | 1.84 | 1.83 | 1.68 | 2.00 | |
Betano | 3.10 | 3.65 | 2.20 | 1.91 | 1.95 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
Superbet | 3.15 | 3.55 | 2.22 | 1.87 | 1.95 | 1.70 | 2.07 |
BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.82 | 1.86 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between Hradec Králové and Tromso stands at 0 wins for Hradec Králové, 1 draw, and 0 wins for Tromso. Their only encounter ended in a 0-0 draw, indicating a tightly contested match with neither side able to secure a victory. This scoreline suggests a defensive battle, with both teams struggling to find the back of the net. Given that there have been no wins for either side in their sole meeting, it reflects a balanced matchup, albeit with limited offensive output.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonHradec Králové have won 8 of their last 9 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Hradec Králové 2-1 and lost to Hradec Králové 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 4D 4L from the last 20 games (60% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Tromso have won 7 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Tromso 3-2 and beat CFR 1907 Cluj 0-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 6D 8L from the last 33 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedHradec Králové3-4-2-1Confirmed
Tromso5-3-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersHradec Králové
No reported absences
Tromso
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
N. Dabanovic has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by N. Dabanovic to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Hradec Králové have averaged 4.5 corners per match at home; Tromso 4.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Tromso have generated 1.38 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 58% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Tromso player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
