Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol Prediction, Tips & Odds
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol
Match Preview
The model favours Maccabi Tel Aviv to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Sheriff Tiraspol. Maccabi Tel Aviv has shown resilience in their recent form, recording three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. This suggests they are capable of bouncing back from setbacks, which could be crucial in a knockout scenario like this. On the other hand, Sheriff Tiraspol is currently enjoying an unbeaten streak, with three victories and two draws in their last five encounters. Their consistent performance indicates a solid foundation, but they may face challenges in adapting to the competitive atmosphere at Bloomfield Stadium. According to the model, Maccabi Tel Aviv has a win probability of around 60%, while Sheriff Tiraspol stands at approximately 25%. One key market percentage to note is the expected likelihood of Maccabi Tel Aviv scoring at least two goals. However, an honest caveat is that Sheriff Tiraspol's unbeaten run could pose a significant threat, especially if they manage to maintain their form. The full method behind these predictions can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as analyzed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which employs an in-house model focusing on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.3% probability.
Maccabi Tel Aviv have been the stronger side, winning 60% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv win as the most likely scoreline at 15.3% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Maccabi Tel Aviv clean sheets, in line with their 40% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Maccabi Tel Aviv are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.31 | 5.00 | 9.25 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 1.33 | 4.95 | 8.30 | 1.53 | 2.23 | 1.84 | 1.84 | |
| 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.50 | 1.53 | 2.45 | 1.90 | 1.87 | |
| 1.34 | 4.80 | 7.78 | 1.56 | 2.35 | — | — | |
| 1.30 | 4.62 | 6.47 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.33 | 4.60 | 7.50 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 1.33 | 4.75 | 8.50 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 1.37 | 5.15 | 8.60 | 1.62 | 2.36 | 1.84 | 1.86 | |
| 1.34 | 5.10 | 7.50 | 1.48 | 2.43 | 1.76 | 1.92 | |
Betano | 1.35 | 5.10 | 8.50 | 1.60 | 2.42 | 1.87 | 1.87 |
Superbet | 1.35 | 5.35 | 7.90 | 1.59 | 2.37 | 1.90 | 1.85 |
BetVictor | 1.30 | 5.25 | 8.50 | 1.54 | 2.26 | 1.83 | 1.87 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Maccabi Tel Aviv leads 1-0)Maccabi Tel Aviv has a head-to-head record of 1 win against Sheriff Tiraspol, with no draws or wins for the latter. The lone match between these teams ended with Maccabi Tel Aviv securing a narrow 1-0 victory. This suggests a competitive encounter, but it also indicates that Maccabi Tel Aviv has historically managed to edge out Sheriff Tiraspol. Since there is only one match in this record, it does not provide a comprehensive view of their overall rivalry.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonMaccabi Tel Aviv have won 4 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-3 and beat Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 2D 4L from the last 15 games (60% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Sheriff Tiraspol have won 4 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat CSF Bălți 1-5 and lost to Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 4D 5L from the last 19 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersMaccabi Tel Aviv
No reported absences
Sheriff Tiraspol
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
M. Redder has averaged 2.0 yellow cards per match across 3 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Maccabi Tel Aviv have averaged 3.8 corners per match at home; Sheriff Tiraspol 7.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Maccabi Tel Aviv have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 60% of their matches and averaging 1.9 goals per game. They put 3.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Maccabi Tel Aviv player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
