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Huracan vs Aldosivi Prediction, Tips & Odds

Huracan vs Aldosivi

Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 11
Huracan
#7 · Liga Profesional Argentina
WWDDD
VS
Aldosivi
#14 · Liga Profesional Argentina
LWLLL
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.62
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.59 (implied 62.9%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 65.4% probability (an expert ratio of 1.53). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (65.4% vs 62.9%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Huracan to win this match against Aldosivi, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Huracan currently sits in 7th place in the league standings with 22 points from 16 matches. Their season has been characterised by a solid defensive record, conceding only 13 goals, which contributes to a positive goal difference of 4. Recently, they have shown resilience, going unbeaten in their last five matches with two wins and three draws. On the other hand, Aldosivi has struggled significantly this season, languishing in 14th place with just 8 points and no wins in their last 16 matches. They have yet to secure a victory, managing only eight draws and suffering eight defeats. Their offensive woes are evident, scoring a mere 6 goals while conceding 19, resulting in a goal difference of -13. This lack of scoring power is a critical factor as they approach this fixture. According to the model, Huracan has a 59.2% probability of winning, while the likelihood of a draw is 26.9% and Aldosivi's chances of winning stand at 13.9%. One caveat to consider is that Huracan's recent form, while strong, could be disrupted by complacency. The full methodology, which relies on expected goals and actual results data throughout the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, crafted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Huracan Win61%1.57
Draw24%3.47
Aldosivi Win16%6.76
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.5658.9%

Huracan have kept a clean sheet in 35% of matches. Aldosivi average 0.9 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.5961.5%

Huracan manage games at home, conceding just 0.87 goals per match. Aldosivi score 0.93 on the road.

Correct Score
Huracan 1-0 Aldosivi
4.9420.2%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 20.2% probability.

Asian Handicap
Huracan -1.5
2.7541%

Huracan have been the stronger side, winning 35% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-0
4.94
20.2%
2-0
6.17
16.2%
1-1
6.91
14.5%
0-0
7.12
14.1%
2-1
8.55
11.7%
3-0
10.71
9.4%

Our model projects a 1-0 Huracan win as the most likely scoreline at 20.2% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Huracan clean sheets, in line with their 35% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Huracan
-0.0
1.14
Aldosivi
+0.0
4.80
Huracan
-1.5
2.75
Aldosivi
+1.5
12.00

Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Huracan are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Huracan vs Aldosivi
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
1.563.466.902.311.572.311.53
Betfair
1.533.606.00
William Hill
1.603.306.502.251.60
Bet365
1.573.407.002.351.572.251.57
1xBet
1.593.537.042.351.602.311.55
Betano
1.603.557.102.371.622.301.57

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
86.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
65.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
38.5%
Over 3.5 Goals
21.7%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XHuracan or Draw
84%1.10
12Huracan or Aldosivi
77%1.28
X2Draw or Aldosivi
40%2.32

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Huracan leads 4-3)
4 Huracan2 Draw3 Aldosivi
16 Mar
Aldosivi
0-0
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 25
Aldosivi
2-0
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina
Apr 25
Huracan
3-3
Aldosivi
Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 22
Aldosivi
0-1
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina
Apr 22
Aldosivi
0-2
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina
Sept 21
Huracan
2-0
Aldosivi
Liga Profesional Argentina
Apr 20
Aldosivi
-
Huracan
Copa de la Superliga
Feb 20
Huracan
0-2
Aldosivi
Liga Profesional Argentina
Aug 18
Aldosivi
2-1
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina
May 17
Aldosivi
0-3
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina

Huracan hold the edge in this fixture, winning 4 of the last 10 meetings with 2 draws and 3 Aldosivi wins. The record points to a tie Huracan have controlled for years, though the draws show Aldosivi have at times kept it tight.

Liga Profesional Argentina Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Independ. Rivadavia
16104229151434
WLWDL
1
Estudiantes L.P.
169431971231
WLDLW
2
River Plate
1692522121029
LWWWD
2
Boca Juniors
168622291330
WWDWD
3
Argentinos JRS
168531713429
LDDWD
3
Velez Sarsfield
167721812628
DWDDD
7
Huracan
165741713422
WWDDD
14
Aldosivi
16088619-138
LWLLD
14
Newells Old Boys
163671527-1215
WDDDW
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
161213524-195
LLDDL
15
Deportivo Riestra
16187512-711
DLDDD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
HuracanHome
4W1D3L
8 playedGF 11 · GA 81.63 pts/game
AldosiviAway
0W1D7L
8 playedGF 3 · GA 140.13 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
HuracanAldosivi
1.06Goals p.g.0.93
0.87Goals conceded p.g.1.38
35%Clean sheets21%
35%Win rate14%
1.94Avg goals in match2.31
0.95xG per game0.88
0.38xGA per game-0.32
55%Possession %41%
4.0Shots on target / game4.5
3.9Corners per game4.7
Huracan
Recent Form

Huracan have won 7 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Huracan 2-1 and drew with Huracan 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 11W 12D 8L from the last 31 games (35% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: HuracanAll competitions
19 Sept
River Plate
1-2
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina
14 Sept
Huracan
2-1
Racing Club
Liga Profesional Argentina
04 Sept
Belgrano Cordoba
1-1
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina
29 Aug
Huracan
1-1
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Liga Profesional Argentina
23 Aug
Huracan
0-0
Deportivo Riestra
Liga Profesional Argentina
16 Aug
Sarmiento Junin
2-0
Huracan
Liga Profesional Argentina
11
Win
35%
12
Draw
39%
8
Lost
26%
Aldosivi
Recent Form

Aldosivi have won 1 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 11. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Aldosivi 4-3 and lost to Argentinos JRS 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 4W 10D 15L from the last 29 games (14% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: AldosiviAll competitions
12 Sept
Independ. Rivadavia
4-3
Aldosivi
Liga Profesional Argentina
05 Sept
Aldosivi
3-1
Banfield
Liga Profesional Argentina
30 Aug
Argentinos JRS
2-1
Aldosivi
Liga Profesional Argentina
26 Aug
Aldosivi
0-2
Independ. Rivadavia
Copa Argentina
21 Aug
Aldosivi
1-3
Union Santa Fe
Liga Profesional Argentina
15 Aug
Aldosivi
0-0
Tigre
Liga Profesional Argentina
4
Win
14%
10
Draw
34%
15
Lost
52%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Huracan

No reported absences

Aldosivi

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Huracan Win1.57 (60.5%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.59 (61.5%)
BTTS No1.56 (58.9%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals2.34 (38.5%)
Both Teams Score2.28 (41.1%)
Speculative
Draw3.47 (23.5%)
Aldosivi Win6.76 (16%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Huracan have averaged 3.9 corners per match at home; Aldosivi 4.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Huracan have generated 0.95 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 35% of them. They put 4.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Huracan player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.