Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P. Prediction, Tips & Odds
Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P.
Match Preview
The model favours Estudiantes L.P. to win this match, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Estudiantes currently sits at the top of the Liga Profesional Argentina standings, having accumulated 31 points from 16 matches. Their season has been strong, with nine wins and a solid goal difference of +12, underscoring their defensive strength by conceding only seven goals. This robust record highlights their consistency and ability to control games. On the other hand, Lanus finds themselves in sixth place, with 24 points from 16 matches. Their performance has been more inconsistent, as evidenced by their record of six wins, six draws, and four losses. While they have managed to score 18 goals, their goal difference of +3 indicates some vulnerability at the back, which could be exploited by a top team like Estudiantes. The model gives Estudiantes a strong win probability, reflecting their league position and overall performance. However, Lanus could pose a challenge if they manage to leverage their home advantage effectively. One key statistic to watch is Lanus's ability to break down a disciplined Estudiantes defense. For more details on our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where we utilize an in-house model that analyses expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Lanus have kept a clean sheet in 43% of matches. Estudiantes L.P. average 1.1 goals per game.
Lanus manage games at home, conceding just 1.08 goals per match. Estudiantes L.P. score 1.14 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.3% probability.
Lanus have been the stronger side, winning 43% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Lanus win as the most likely scoreline at 18.3% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Lanus clean sheets, in line with their 43% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Lanus are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P.| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.14 | 3.06 | 3.55 | 2.52 | 1.41 | 2.16 | 1.60 | |
| 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.63 | 1.47 | — | — | |
| 2.19 | 3.16 | 3.60 | 2.73 | 1.46 | — | — | |
| 2.12 | 2.80 | 3.11 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.40 | — | — | 2.15 | 1.65 | |
| 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.70 | 1.44 | 2.20 | 1.62 | |
| 2.19 | 3.12 | 3.62 | 2.52 | 1.41 | 2.16 | 1.62 | |
Betano | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.55 | 2.70 | 1.50 | 2.20 | 1.62 |
BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.60 | 2.49 | 1.45 | 2.15 | 1.62 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (evenly matched 3-3)The head-to-head record between Lanus and Estudiantes L.P. stands at 3 wins for Lanus, 3 draws, and 3 wins for Estudiantes L.P. This balanced record indicates a competitive rivalry, with no side managing to dominate in recent encounters. The scorelines reflect a mix of close matches, highlighted by several narrow wins, including a 1-0 and a 2-1 victory. Notably, both teams have also shared the points on three occasions, suggesting that tight contests are common. The last time Estudiantes L.P. won against Lanus was in April 2024, indicating a relatively recent competitive exchange.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | WLWDL |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | WLDLW |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | WDWDD |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DWDDD |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | DDWDL |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 24 | WWLDL |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | DDDWW |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | LLDDL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | DLDDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonLanus have won 10 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Lanus 1-0 and drew with Lanus 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 7D 14L from the last 37 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Estudiantes L.P. have won 6 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Estudiantes L.P. 1-0 and lost to Sarmiento Junin 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 10D 14L from the last 42 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLanus
No reported absences
Estudiantes L.P.
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
N. Ramirez has averaged 4.0 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 3.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Lanus have averaged 5.7 corners per match at home; Estudiantes L.P. 4.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Lanus have generated 1.35 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 43% of them. They put 5.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Lanus player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
