Flamengo vs RB Bragantino Prediction, Tips & Odds
Flamengo vs RB Bragantino
Match Preview
The model favours Flamengo to win against RB Bragantino, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Flamengo currently sits at the top of the Serie A standings with 54 points from 26 matches, boasting a strong record of 16 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses. Their impressive goal difference of +30 highlights their attacking prowess and solid defensive capabilities, having scored 51 goals while conceding only 21 this season. With four wins in their last five matches, Flamengo is in good form and will look to maintain their position as league leaders. In contrast, RB Bragantino occupies 9th place with 35 points from 25 matches, recording 10 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses. Although they have shown some resilience, their recent form has been less than stellar, with only one win in their last five matches. Their goal difference of +3 indicates a lack of offensive firepower compared to Flamengo, as they have scored 31 goals but conceded 28. This inconsistency could pose a challenge as they face the league leaders. The model gives Flamengo a win probability of 62%, suggesting they are well-positioned to secure three points in this fixture. While their strong home form and overall season performance support this prediction, RB Bragantino could pose a threat if they manage to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Flamengo. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.2% probability.
Flamengo have been the stronger side, winning 65% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Flamengo win as the most likely scoreline at 14.2% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Flamengo clean sheets, in line with their 44% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Flamengo are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Flamengo vs RB Bragantino| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.32 | 5.20 | 8.00 | 1.47 | 2.35 | 1.77 | 1.92 | |
| 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 1.50 | 2.45 | 1.87 | 1.90 | |
| 1.34 | 5.49 | 8.85 | 1.54 | 2.55 | — | — | |
| 1.34 | 4.72 | 7.14 | 1.54 | 2.42 | — | — | |
| 1.35 | 4.80 | 7.50 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.91 | |
| 1.36 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 1.35 | 5.46 | 8.40 | 1.47 | 2.35 | 1.77 | 1.94 | |
Betano | 1.40 | 5.10 | 8.75 | 1.60 | 2.42 | 1.78 | 1.98 |
BetVictor | 1.33 | 5.25 | 8.50 | 1.52 | 2.32 | 1.75 | 1.95 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Flamengo leads 5-3)In the last 10 matches between Flamengo and RB Bragantino, Flamengo has won 5 times, RB Bragantino has won 3 times, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, with Flamengo achieving narrow victories, such as 1-0 and 2-1, alongside some heavier wins, including a 4-1 result. Conversely, RB Bragantino's wins have also included a notable 3-0 victory. The matches have been competitive, with a tendency for low-scoring affairs, as seen in several 1-0 and 2-1 results, suggesting that while Flamengo has had the upper hand historically, the contests have often been closely fought.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 21 | 30 | 54 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 52 | DWLDW |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 45 | LDWDW |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 45 | WDWWD |
| 5 |  Bahia | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 43 | WWWDD |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 42 | WLWWW |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 35 | LLWDL |
| 19 |  Remo | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 23 | LLLDD |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 14 | LWDLD |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFlamengo have won 16 of their last 21 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Flamengo 2-0 and beat Flamengo 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 28W 9D 6L from the last 43 games (65% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
RB Bragantino have won 5 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Sao Paulo 2-1 and drew with Atletico-MG 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 11D 14L from the last 41 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFlamengo
No reported absences
RB Bragantino
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Rodrigo Jose Pereira de Lima to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Flamengo have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; RB Bragantino 5.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Flamengo have generated 1.49 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 65% of them. They put 5.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Flamengo player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
