Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman Prediction, Tips & Odds
Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman
Match Preview
The model favours Atletico Tucuman to win this match against Aldosivi, with a projected scoreline of 1-0. Atletico Tucuman currently occupies 13th place in the league standings and has shown a more competitive edge this season, managing three wins and five draws from their 16 matches. Their goal-scoring tally stands at 15, which is significantly higher than Aldosivi's six goals, indicating a more potent attack. In contrast, Aldosivi finds themselves in 14th position, struggling to secure any victories this season with a record of eight draws and eight losses. Their defensive issues are evident, having conceded 19 goals, which contributes to a goal difference of -13. Aldosivi's recent form reflects their overall struggle, with just one win in their last five matches. According to the model output, Atletico Tucuman has a win probability of approximately 50%, while Aldosivi's chance of winning sits at around 25%. A key market to note is Atletico Tucuman's odds, which reflect their stronger form and position. However, a caveat for this prediction is that both teams have drawn a significant number of matches this season, which could lead to another stalemate. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the analysis comes from an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Aldosivi have kept a clean sheet in 19% of matches. Atletico Tucuman average 1.1 goals per game.
Aldosivi manage games at home, conceding just 1.33 goals per match. Atletico Tucuman score 1.13 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.6% probability.
Atletico Tucuman have been the stronger side, winning 33% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-1 Atletico Tucuman win as the most likely scoreline at 17.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Atletico Tucuman are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Aldosivi vs Atletico Tucuman| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.12 | 2.90 | 2.44 | 2.56 | 1.40 | 2.15 | 1.61 | |
| 3.20 | 2.90 | 2.45 | 2.88 | 1.40 | 2.30 | 1.60 | |
| 3.17 | 3.02 | 2.48 | 2.84 | 1.44 | — | — | |
| 2.87 | 2.75 | 2.29 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.45 | — | — | 2.15 | 1.65 | |
| 3.30 | 2.90 | 2.45 | 2.70 | 1.44 | 2.20 | 1.62 | |
| 3.19 | 2.96 | 2.49 | 2.56 | 1.40 | 2.15 | 1.63 | |
Betano | 3.20 | 2.95 | 2.50 | 2.77 | 1.47 | 2.15 | 1.65 |
BetVictor | 3.20 | 2.90 | 2.45 | 2.54 | 1.43 | 2.15 | 1.62 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Atletico Tucuman leads 3-1)In the last 10 matches between Aldosivi and Atletico Tucuman, Aldosivi has won once, there have been five draws, and Atletico Tucuman has secured three victories. The scorelines indicate a generally competitive rivalry, with a notable number of draws suggesting closely contested matches. The only significant win came from Aldosivi in 2019, where they triumphed 3-0. Most encounters have been tightly contested, with several matches finishing in draws or narrow margins. Atletico Tucuman has not lost to Aldosivi in their last four meetings, highlighting a recent edge for them in this matchup.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | WLWDL |
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | WLDLW |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | WDWDD |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DWDDD |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | DDWDL |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 14 | LWDDW |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | LWLLD |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | LLDDL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | DLDDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAldosivi have won 3 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Banfield 3-1 and lost to Independ. Rivadavia 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 9D 14L from the last 27 games (15% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Atletico Tucuman have won 6 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Atletico Tucuman 1-1 and beat Racing Club 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 10D 10L from the last 30 games (33% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAldosivi
No reported absences
Atletico Tucuman
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
S. Zunino has averaged 1.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Aldosivi have averaged 3.7 corners per match at home; Atletico Tucuman 5.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Atletico Tucuman have generated 0.82 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 33% of them. They put 3.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Atletico Tucuman player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
