Inter Miami vs Nashville SC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Inter Miami vs Nashville SC
Match Preview
The model favours Nashville SC to win this match against Inter Miami, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Nashville currently sits at the top of the standings with 49 points from 21 matches, boasting an impressive record of 15 wins, 4 draws, and just 2 losses. Their goal difference of +26 highlights a solid defensive and attacking performance, with only 17 goals conceded, which is significantly lower than their opponents. In contrast, Inter Miami is in second place with 39 points, having won 11, drawn 6, and lost 4 of their 21 matches. However, their recent form has been concerning, with no wins in the last five matches, which includes four losses. This downturn in form is particularly troubling as they have conceded 40 goals this season, indicating vulnerabilities in their defence that Nashville could exploit. According to the model, Nashville SC has a strong win probability in this matchup, supported by their recent form and overall season performance. However, a potential caveat is Inter Miami’s ability to turn their fortunes around at home, which could surprise Nashville if they manage to find their scoring touch. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.1% probability.
Inter Miami have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 12.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Inter Miami are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Inter Miami vs Nashville SC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.84 | 4.10 | 3.50 | 1.38 | 3.00 | 1.36 | 2.88 | |
| 1.99 | 4.05 | 3.10 | 1.32 | 2.89 | 1.33 | 2.96 | |
| 2.00 | 4.00 | 3.20 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 1.33 | 3.25 | |
| 2.08 | 4.09 | 3.23 | 1.39 | 3.10 | — | — | |
| 2.05 | 3.68 | 2.86 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.00 | — | — | 1.36 | 3.00 | |
| 2.00 | 4.10 | 3.30 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 1.36 | 3.00 | |
| 1.79 | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.35 | 3.10 | 1.36 | 2.90 | |
| 1.80 | 3.90 | 3.50 | 1.36 | 2.90 | 1.36 | 2.80 | |
Betano | 2.10 | 4.35 | 3.15 | 1.39 | 3.00 | 1.36 | 2.95 |
BetVictor | 2.00 | 4.00 | 3.10 | 1.33 | 3.13 | 1.30 | 3.13 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Inter Miami leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Inter Miami and Nashville SC, Inter Miami has won 7 times, with 2 draws and 1 victory for Nashville SC. The scorelines indicate a generally dominant performance by Inter Miami, highlighted by a few heavy wins, including a 4-0 and a 5-2 result. Nashville SC’s lone victory came in a narrow 2-1 match, suggesting that while they have managed to compete, they have struggled against Inter Miami overall. The two draws show that Nashville SC has been able to hold their own occasionally, but the overall trend indicates a significant advantage for Inter Miami in this matchup.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 46 | LWLWW |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 21 | 29 | 54 | DLDWW |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 43 | LWDDL |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 45 | DDDWL |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 43 | WWLWD |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 43 | WWWDL |
| 14 |  Seattle Sounders | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 28 | DDDDL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 18 | WLLLD |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 21 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonInter Miami have won 7 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Nashville SC 2-2 and drew with Atlanta United FC 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 11D 6L from the last 34 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Nashville SC have won 6 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Nashville SC 2-2 and lost to Toronto FC 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 10D 8L from the last 37 games (51% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedInter Miami4-3-3Confirmed
Nashville SC4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
7 playersInter Miami6
Nashville SC1
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Inter Miami have averaged 5.5 corners per match at home; Nashville SC 4.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Inter Miami have generated 2.76 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 5.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Inter Miami player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
