JFK Ventspils vs Skanste Prediction, Tips & Odds
JFK Ventspils vs Skanste
Match Preview
The model favours Skanste to win this match against JFK Ventspils, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Skanste currently sits in 9th place with 23 points from 19 matches, having secured seven wins this season. Their goal difference stands at +1, indicating a more balanced performance overall. With three wins in their last five matches, Skanste has shown a positive trend, particularly with their ability to score, netting 39 goals thus far. In contrast, JFK Ventspils finds themselves at 11th place, with just 12 points from 18 matches. Their season has been challenging, marked by only two wins and a goal difference of -13. Their recent form is concerning, as they have managed no victories in their last five outings, highlighting ongoing struggles both defensively and offensively. The model output suggests a win probability of approximately 60% for Skanste, with a projected score of 2-1. One potential caveat to consider is that if JFK Ventspils can capitalize on early chances or exploit defensive lapses, they could disrupt Skanste’s momentum. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.1 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.6% probability.
Skanste have been the stronger side, winning 42% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Skanste are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
JFK Ventspils vs Skanste| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.60 | 3.72 | 2.13 | 1.36 | 2.70 | 1.35 | 2.79 | |
| 2.55 | 3.80 | 2.20 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.55 | 3.75 | 2.15 | 1.39 | 2.66 | — | — | |
| 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.25 | — | — | 1.36 | 2.75 | |
| 2.66 | 3.72 | 2.15 | 1.36 | 2.70 | 1.35 | 2.86 | |
Betano | 2.60 | 3.75 | 2.18 | — | — | — | — |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 6 Meetings (Skanste leads 4-0)In the last six matches between JFK Ventspils and Skanste, Skanste leads with four wins, while there have been two draws and JFK Ventspils has not secured a win. The scorelines indicate a generally competitive series, with two matches ending in draws and a mix of close contests and one-sided results. Notably, Skanste has recorded three wins by a single goal, while their 3-0 victory reflects a heavier defeat for JFK Ventspils. The last time JFK Ventspils won against Skanste was not within this sample, highlighting their struggle to overcome this opponent historically.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 21 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 89 | 17 | 72 | 54 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Valmiera / BSS | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 60 | 23 | 37 | 51 | LWDWW |
| 3 |  Leevon / PPK | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 43 | 25 | 18 | 49 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  Riga Mariners | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 50 | 23 | 27 | 47 | WLWWW |
| 5 |  JDFS Alberts | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 37 | LLWWW |
| 6 |  Mārupe | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 28 | WLLWL |
| 7 | Skanste | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 26 | WLWDW |
| 12 |  Tukums II | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 15 | WLLLL |
| 13 | JFK Ventspils | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 40 | -20 | 12 | LLDLL |
| 14 |  Rēzekne FA | 21 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 64 | -47 | 6 | LDLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonJFK Ventspils have won 2 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 9. Their recent home fixtures include drew with JFK Ventspils 1-1 and lost to JFK Ventspils 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 9D 16L from the last 31 games (19% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Skanste have won 6 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include beat Skanste 3-4 and lost to Riga FC II 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 5D 13L from the last 31 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersJFK Ventspils
No reported absences
Skanste
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
JFK Ventspils average 1.2 goals per match at home; Skanste 1.9 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Skanste have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 42% of their matches and averaging 1.9 goals per game. Skanste player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.