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Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor Prediction, Tips & Odds

Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor

Süper LigRegular Season - 6
Kasımpaşa
#8 · Süper Lig
DWWDW
0 - 0
Konyaspor
#18 · Süper Lig
LLWLL
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.72
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.68 (implied 59.7%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 62.2% probability (an expert ratio of 1.61). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (62.2% vs 59.7%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Kasımpaşa to win against Konyaspor, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Kasımpaşa currently sits in 8th place in the Süper Lig, having played four matches this season. They have managed to secure one win and three draws, accumulating a total of six points. Their goal difference stands at +1, with five goals scored and four conceded. With an unbeaten run so far, their steady form reflects a resilient side that can capitalize on Konyaspor's struggles. In stark contrast, Konyaspor finds themselves at the bottom of the table in 18th place. They have yet to register a point this season, suffering four consecutive losses. With three goals scored and eight conceded, their goal difference of -5 highlights significant defensive vulnerabilities. Although they managed to secure one win in their last five matches overall, their current form is concerning, which may hinder their performance against a more stable Kasımpaşa side. The model indicates a strong win probability for Kasımpaşa, with a projected score of 2-0. One key market percentage to consider is the likelihood of Kasımpaşa achieving a clean sheet. However, Kasımpaşa's potential to falter against any team cannot be dismissed, especially if they underestimate Konyaspor. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which employs an in-house model focusing on expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Kasımpaşa Win49%2.39
Draw25%3.12
Konyaspor Win26%3.01
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.8351.1%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.6855.2%

Kasımpaşa manage games at home, conceding just 1.08 goals per match. Konyaspor score 1.39 on the road.

Correct Score
Kasımpaşa 1-1 Konyaspor
5.8017.3%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.3% probability.

Asian Handicap
Kasımpaşa -0.3
2.1043%

Kasımpaşa have been the stronger side, winning 42% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
5.80
17.3%
1-0
7.03
14.3%
0-1
8.06
12.4%
0-0
8.17
12.3%
2-1
9.11
11.0%
1-2
10.48
9.6%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Kasımpaşa
-0.0
1.69
Konyaspor
+0.0
2.15
Kasımpaşa
-0.3
2.10
Konyaspor
+0.3
2.55
Kasımpaşa
-1.5
5.00
Konyaspor
+1.5
7.00

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Kasımpaşa are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Kasımpaşa vs Konyaspor
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
2.383.103.022.141.661.841.84
Betfair
2.303.103.102.101.651.751.95
Pinnacle
2.453.223.182.261.69
SBO
2.412.992.782.191.68
William Hill
2.403.002.901.831.85
Bet365
2.353.203.002.151.671.801.91
1xBet
2.483.233.142.221.721.841.86
Betano
2.403.152.952.201.701.871.88
BetVictor
2.383.133.002.091.641.851.83

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
88.4%
Over 1.5 Goals
68.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
44.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
23.8%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XKasımpaşa or Draw
74%1.36
12Kasımpaşa or Konyaspor
75%1.34
X2Draw or Konyaspor
51%1.54

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Konyaspor leads 4-0)
0 Kasımpaşa6 Draw4 Konyaspor
08 Mar
Konyaspor
1-1
Kasımpaşa
Süper Lig
Oct 25
Kasımpaşa
1-1
Konyaspor
Süper Lig
Jan 25
Konyaspor
3-3
Kasımpaşa
Süper Lig
Aug 24
Kasımpaşa
2-3
Konyaspor
Süper Lig
Apr 24
Kasımpaşa
0-2
Konyaspor
Süper Lig
Nov 23
Konyaspor
2-0
Kasımpaşa
Süper Lig
Apr 23
Kasımpaşa
1-2
Konyaspor
Süper Lig
Oct 22
Konyaspor
1-1
Kasımpaşa
Süper Lig
Feb 22
Konyaspor
4-4
Kasımpaşa
Süper Lig
Sept 21
Kasımpaşa
2-2
Konyaspor
Süper Lig

In the last 10 matches between Kasımpaşa and Konyaspor, Konyaspor has won 4 times, Kasımpaşa has not secured a victory, and there have been 6 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches ending in draws and high-scoring encounters, such as the 3-3 and 4-4 results. While Konyaspor has had the edge with four wins, Kasımpaşa has managed to hold them to a stalemate on multiple occasions, suggesting a tightly contested matchup overall. Kasımpaşa has not won against Konyaspor in these last ten encounters.

Süper Lig Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Galatasaray
4310126610
WWWD
2
Beşiktaş
43019459
WWLW
3
Kocaelispor
43015329
WWWL
4
Trabzonspor
42119457
WLWD
5
Amed
42117527
DWLW
6
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
421147-37
LDWW
8
Kasımpaşa
41305416
DDWD
16
Eyüpspor
410326-43
LWLL
17
Göztepe
301257-21
LLD
18
Konyaspor
400438-50
LLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
KasımpaşaHome
0W2D0L
2 playedGF 3 · GA 31.00 pts/game
KonyasporAway
0W0D2L
2 playedGF 2 · GA 50.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
KasımpaşaKonyaspor
1.31Goals p.g.1.39
1.08Goals conceded p.g.1.29
42%Clean sheets36%
42%Win rate43%
2.38Avg goals in match2.68
0.97xG per game1.40
-0.22xGA per game-0.17
39%Possession %43%
2.7Shots on target / game4.0
3.1Corners per game4.3
Kasımpaşa
Recent Form

Kasımpaşa have won 10 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Kasımpaşa 3-0 and drew with Kasımpaşa 1-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 11W 8D 7L from the last 26 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: KasımpaşaAll competitions
30 Aug
Başakşehir
1-1
Kasımpaşa
Süper Lig
22 Aug
Çorum FK
0-1
Kasımpaşa
Süper Lig
08 Aug
Kasımpaşa
3-0
Samsunspor
Friendlies Clubs
01 Aug
Kasımpaşa
1-1
Hull City
Friendlies Clubs
24 Jul
Kasımpaşa
3-0
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Friendlies Clubs
18 Jul
Kasımpaşa
1-1
Batman Petrolspor
Friendlies Clubs
11
Win
42%
8
Draw
31%
7
Lost
27%
Konyaspor
Recent Form

Konyaspor have won 5 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Fenerbahçe 4-2 and beat Zorya Luhansk 1-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 12W 5D 11L from the last 28 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: KonyasporAll competitions
29 Aug
Konyaspor
1-2
Kocaelispor
Süper Lig
22 Aug
Fenerbahçe
4-2
Konyaspor
Süper Lig
29 Jul
Konyaspor
2-0
Al-Dhafra
Friendlies Clubs
25 Jul
Konyaspor
0-3
Hull City
Friendlies Clubs
18 Jul
Konyaspor
1-3
Zalaegerszegi TE
Friendlies Clubs
15 Jul
Zorya Luhansk
1-2
Konyaspor
Friendlies Clubs
12
Win
43%
5
Draw
18%
11
Lost
39%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Kasımpaşa

No reported absences

Konyaspor

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.68 (55.2%)
Value Bets
Kasımpaşa Win2.39 (49.4%)
Draw3.12 (25%)
Konyaspor Win3.01 (25.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.17 (44.8%)
Both Teams Score1.83 (51.1%)
BTTS No1.87 (48.9%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Kasımpaşa have averaged 3.1 corners per match at home; Konyaspor 4.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Kasımpaşa have generated 0.97 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 42% of them. They put 2.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Kasımpaşa player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.