Kortrijk vs SK Beveren Prediction, Tips & Odds
Kortrijk vs SK Beveren
Match Preview
The model favours SK Beveren to win against Kortrijk, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. SK Beveren currently sits in 12th place in the league standings, having secured 6 points from 5 matches with 2 wins and 3 losses. Their goal difference of -5 reflects a moderate defensive vulnerability, but their ability to score 5 goals indicates a more competitive edge compared to their opponents. In contrast, Kortrijk finds themselves at the bottom of the table in 18th place, having lost all 5 of their matches this season without a single point. Their goal tally is concerning, with only 1 goal scored and 12 conceded, leading to a goal difference of -11. This lack of scoring power and defensive frailty presents a significant challenge for them as they look for their first win. The model output suggests a win probability of 65% for SK Beveren, with a projected score of 2-0. One key market percentage to note is the likelihood of Beveren winning by at least a 1-goal margin. However, the caveat is that if Kortrijk manages to tighten their defence or finds an unexpected scoring touch, they could make the match more competitive. The full methodology of this prediction is outlined in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.8% probability.
SK Beveren have been the stronger side, winning 57% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. SK Beveren are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Kortrijk vs SK Beveren| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.54 | 3.42 | 2.57 | 1.69 | 2.09 | 1.55 | 2.26 | |
| 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.40 | 1.65 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.30 | |
| 2.67 | 3.56 | 2.61 | 1.74 | 2.16 | — | — | |
| 2.42 | 3.12 | 2.39 | 1.69 | 2.14 | — | — | |
| 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.50 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 2.55 | 3.30 | 2.55 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.61 | 3.51 | 2.64 | 1.73 | 2.14 | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
Betano | 2.60 | 3.45 | 2.65 | 1.72 | 2.18 | 1.55 | 2.35 |
BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.50 | 1.67 | 2.03 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (SK Beveren leads 6-3)In the last 10 matches between Kortrijk and SK Beveren, SK Beveren has won 6 times, while Kortrijk has managed 3 victories, with no draws recorded. The scorelines indicate a tendency for SK Beveren to dominate, as they secured several narrow wins, such as 1-0 and 2-1, but also achieved a notable heavy win of 6-2 against Kortrijk in February 2019. Kortrijk's last victory over SK Beveren was in April 2021, highlighting a gap in their head-to-head success in recent encounters.
Jupiler Pro League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gent | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Union St. Gilloise | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Club Brugge KV | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 12 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Charleroi | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12 | LWWWW |
| 5 |  Zulte Waregem | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 6 |  Standard Liege | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 | WWWDD |
| 12 | SK Beveren | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 | WLLWL |
| 16 |  RAAL La Louvière | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 17 |  OH Leuven | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 0 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Kortrijk | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonKortrijk have won 4 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Zulte Waregem 0-2 and lost to Charleroi 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 3D 9L from the last 19 games (37% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
SK Beveren have won 4 of their last 10 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Genk 4-0 and lost to Zulte Waregem 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 1D 5L from the last 14 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersKortrijk
No reported absences
SK Beveren
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Yusuke Araki has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Yusuke Araki to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Kortrijk average 1.7 goals per match at home; SK Beveren 2.3 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
SK Beveren have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 57% of their matches and averaging 2.3 goals per game. SK Beveren player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
