Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala Prediction, Tips & Odds
Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala
Match Preview
The model favours Dinamo Makhachkala to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Krylia Sovetov. Dinamo Makhachkala has started the season strongly, sitting in fourth place with two wins from their opening two matches. They have scored four goals while conceding only two, showcasing a solid offensive and defensive balance. Their recent form also reflects this strength, with three wins in their last five matches, indicating a team that is gaining momentum. In contrast, Krylia Sovetov has struggled to find their footing this season, currently positioned tenth with two draws and no wins. They have managed just one goal while conceding one, which highlights their difficulties in creating scoring opportunities. Their form over the last five matches shows two draws and three losses, suggesting a team in need of improvement to turn their fortunes around. The model gives Dinamo Makhachkala a higher win probability, reflecting their current form and league position. However, a potential caveat for this prediction is Krylia Sovetov's ability to capitalize on home advantage, which could disrupt the expected outcome. For a detailed breakdown of the prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season to inform these predictions.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Krylia Sovetov manage games at home, conceding just 1.59 goals per match. Dinamo Makhachkala score 1.46 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.1% probability.
Krylia Sovetov have been the stronger side, winning 31% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 18.1% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Krylia Sovetov clean sheets, in line with their 22% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Krylia Sovetov are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Krylia Sovetov vs Dinamo Makhachkala| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.43 | 3.18 | 3.18 | 2.12 | 1.62 | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
| 2.46 | 3.18 | 3.21 | 2.30 | 1.66 | — | — | |
| 2.32 | 2.94 | 2.80 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.49 | 3.26 | 3.26 | 2.28 | 1.74 | 1.85 | 1.87 | |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 7 Meetings (Dinamo Makhachkala leads 4-2)In their last seven encounters, Dinamo Makhachkala has won four matches, while Krylia Sovetov has secured two victories, with one match ending in a draw. The scorelines indicate a mix of results; however, Dinamo Makhachkala has often dominated, achieving two wins with a margin of at least two goals, including a notable 4-0 victory. The draw and Krylia Sovetov's wins suggest some competitive matches, but overall, Makhachkala's recent performance has been stronger, with Krylia Sovetov last winning against them in early 2026.
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Krasnodar | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Spartak Moscow | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 12 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  CSKA Moscow | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | WWDDW |
| 4 |  Zenit | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 9 | LWLWW |
| 5 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 | LWLWW |
| 6 |  Dynamo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | WLWLD |
| 12 | Krylia Sovetov | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 | WLLDD |
| 14 |  Lokomotiv | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | LDDLD |
| 15 |  Fakel | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 | DLDLL |
| 16 |  Akron | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 2 | LDDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonKrylia Sovetov have won 7 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Zenit 0-0 and lost to Dinamo Makhachkala 1-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 8D 14L from the last 32 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Dinamo Makhachkala have won 6 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Baltika 1-1 and beat Krylia Sovetov 1-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 8D 11L from the last 35 games (46% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedKrylia Sovetov4-2-3-1Confirmed
Dinamo Makhachkala4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
3 playersKrylia Sovetov
No reported absences
Dinamo Makhachkala3
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
N. Novikov has averaged 9.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Krylia Sovetov have averaged 4.8 corners per match at home; Dinamo Makhachkala 3.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Krylia Sovetov have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 31% of their matches and averaging 1.4 goals per game. They put 4.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Krylia Sovetov player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
