Le Havre vs Angers Prediction, Tips & Odds
Le Havre vs Angers
Match Preview
The model favours Angers to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Le Havre. Angers currently sits in 7th place after two matches, boasting a record of one win and one loss. Their goal tally shows they have scored three goals while conceding three, indicating a balanced offensive and defensive performance. With three points from their opening fixtures, Angers will aim to build on their positive start. Le Havre, on the other hand, finds themselves in 16th position with just one point from two games, having recorded one draw and one loss. They have struggled offensively, managing only one goal while conceding two. Their recent form reflects these challenges, with only one win in their last five matches, highlighting the need for improvement to climb the standings. The model gives Angers a win probability of approximately 60%, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential concern for Angers could be their inconsistency, as they have experienced fluctuations in form. For a deeper understanding of this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, detailing our in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season. The Daily Punt Analysis Team aims to provide data-driven insights for informed predictions.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Le Havre manage games at home, conceding just 1.29 goals per match. Angers score 1.08 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.2% probability.
Angers have been the stronger side, winning 31% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Angers are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Le Havre vs Angers| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.67 | 3.30 | 2.82 | 1.93 | 1.89 | 1.69 | 2.04 | |
| 2.63 | 3.25 | 2.80 | 1.90 | 1.87 | 1.60 | 2.25 | |
| 2.67 | 3.29 | 2.86 | 1.98 | 1.93 | — | — | |
| 2.52 | 3.23 | 2.61 | 1.96 | 1.90 | — | — | |
| 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.70 | — | — | 1.73 | 2.10 | |
| 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.80 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 2.70 | 3.36 | 2.88 | 2.00 | 1.94 | 1.69 | 2.07 | |
Betano | 2.62 | 3.25 | 2.77 | 1.98 | 1.88 | 1.70 | 2.07 |
BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.70 | 1.86 | 1.82 | 1.67 | 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Angers leads 4-3)The head-to-head record between Le Havre and Angers is fairly balanced, with Angers winning 4 times, Le Havre winning 3 times, and 3 matches ending in draws over the last 10 encounters. Scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several tight matches; notably, five fixtures ended in a draw or a one-goal margin. The most recent draw was a 1-1 result in April 2026, while Le Havre's last victory was in January 2026 with a 2-1 scoreline. Angers has not lost to Le Havre in their last three meetings, which reflects a slight edge in recent contests.
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lille | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | WWDW |
| 2 |  Monaco | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 | DWWW |
| 3 |  Rennes | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WWWD |
| 4 |  Lyon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | DWDW |
| 5 |  Paris FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | DWWD |
| 6 |  Strasbourg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 | DWWL |
| 11 | Angers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | DLWL |
| 16 | Le Havre | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | DLDL |
| 17 |  Toulouse | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 | DLDL |
| 18 |  Nice | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 | LDLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonLe Havre have won 4 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Stade Brestois 29 1-2 and lost to Monaco 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 10D 12L from the last 28 games (21% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Angers have won 2 of their last 10 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Angers 1-3 and drew with Stade Brestois 29 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 6D 12L from the last 26 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
9 playersLe Havre8
Angers1
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Ruddy Buquet has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Ruddy Buquet to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Le Havre have averaged 4.7 corners per match at home; Angers 7.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Angers have generated 1.28 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 31% of them. They put 3.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Angers player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
