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Lens vs Sporting CP Prediction, Tips & Odds

Lens vs Sporting CP

UEFA Champions LeagueGroup Stage
Lens
LWWLW
VS
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Sporting CP
WWWDW

Match Preview

The model favours Sporting CP to win with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Sporting CP enters this match in strong form, having won four of their last five fixtures and remaining unbeaten in that stretch. Their consistency is reflected in their recent performances, showcasing a solid attacking unit that has been effective in converting chances. On the other hand, Lens has also performed reasonably well with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. However, they may face challenges against a Sporting CP side that has shown greater stability and resilience in their recent outings. Lens will need to tighten their defence and ensure they take their chances to compete effectively in this matchup. The model output indicates a win probability favouring Sporting CP, although specific percentages are not provided. While the prediction leans towards an away victory, it is important to consider that Lens will have home advantage, which can often influence the outcome in unexpected ways. For a detailed explanation of how this prediction was reached, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results over the season.

Head to Head

No head-to-head data available.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
LensSporting CP
2.27Goals p.g.2.45
1.27Goals conceded p.g.0.97
30%Clean sheets36%
60%Win rate67%
3.53Avg goals in match3.42
1.54xG per game2.20
0.63xGA per game-0.63
43%Possession %63%
4.0Shots on target / game7.8
8.0Corners per game10.2
Lens
Recent Form

Lens have won 14 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Lens 5-2 and beat Lens 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 18W 5D 7L from the last 30 games (60% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: LensAll competitions
29 Aug
Strasbourg
2-1
Lens
Ligue 1
22 Aug
Lens
5-2
Auxerre
Ligue 1
16 Aug
Lens
1-0
Paris Saint Germain
Trophée des Champions
08 Aug
Lens
0-2
Sunderland
Friendlies Clubs
01 Aug
Lens
3-1
Villarreal
Como Cup
28 Jul
Lens
0-0
Famalicao
Como Cup
18
Win
60%
5
Draw
17%
7
Lost
23%
Sporting CP
Recent Form

Sporting CP have won 7 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include beat Sporting CP 0-4 and drew with Estrela 2-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 22W 7D 4L from the last 33 games (67% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Sporting CPAll competitions
28 Aug
Rio Ave
0-4
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga
22 Aug
Sporting CP
3-1
Alverca
Primeira Liga
14 Aug
Sporting CP
3-2
Vitória SC
Primeira Liga
08 Aug
Estrela
2-2
Sporting CP
Primeira Liga
31 Jul
Sporting CP
4-1
Nottingham Forest
Friendlies Clubs
25 Jul
Sporting CP
2-0
Monaco
Friendlies Clubs
22
Win
67%
7
Draw
21%
4
Lost
12%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Lens

No reported absences

Sporting CP

No reported absences

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.