Telstar vs Cambuur Prediction, Tips & Odds
Telstar vs Cambuur
Match Preview
The model favours Telstar to win against Cambuur, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Telstar currently sits in 13th place in the Eredivisie standings, having played two matches this season with one win and one loss. They have scored three goals while conceding four, which reflects a somewhat shaky defence but an ability to find the net. Their recent form includes two wins in their last five matches, suggesting they are starting to find some consistency. On the other hand, Cambuur is struggling at the bottom of the table in 18th place, having lost all three of their matches so far this season. They have yet to secure a point, scoring three goals but conceding a troubling twelve, leading to a goal difference of -9. Their recent form is concerning, with five consecutive losses, indicating significant issues both defensively and offensively. The model output indicates a win probability of approximately 60% for Telstar, with a projected score of 2-1. While Telstar has shown some promise, they need to be cautious, as inconsistency in defence could allow Cambuur to capitalize if they find their rhythm. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.9% probability.
Telstar have been the stronger side, winning 32% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Telstar win as the most likely scoreline at 12.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Telstar are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Telstar vs Cambuur| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.61 | 4.30 | 4.65 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
| 1.64 | 4.25 | 4.40 | 1.35 | 2.76 | 1.42 | 2.61 | |
| 1.57 | 4.40 | 4.75 | 1.47 | 2.63 | 1.50 | 2.55 | |
| 1.69 | 4.44 | 4.53 | 1.42 | 2.97 | — | — | |
| 1.56 | 3.84 | 4.07 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.62 | 4.00 | 4.50 | — | — | 1.40 | 2.62 | |
| 1.67 | 4.33 | 4.33 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 1.69 | 4.38 | 4.53 | 1.35 | 2.76 | 1.42 | 2.66 | |
| 1.62 | 4.10 | 4.75 | 1.49 | 2.60 | 1.50 | 2.38 | |
Betano | 1.65 | 4.40 | 4.70 | 1.47 | 2.75 | 1.52 | 2.45 |
Superbet | 1.65 | 4.35 | 4.60 | 1.48 | 2.67 | 1.52 | 2.42 |
BetVictor | 1.67 | 4.40 | 4.50 | 1.36 | 2.90 | 1.40 | 2.70 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Cambuur leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Telstar and Cambuur, Cambuur has won 7 times, Telstar has won once, and there has been 1 draw. This record indicates a strong advantage for Cambuur, especially considering the scorelines, which include a significant 6-0 victory and several other wins by at least two goals. The matches have tended to be competitive, but Cambuur's dominance is evident, with Telstar's last victory coming in a friendly match in July 2025, suggesting a challenging history for them in this matchup.
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 13 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 4 |  Excelsior | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 10 | DWWLW |
| 5 |  Twente | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 | WDWWL |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 | WWLWD |
| 14 | Telstar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 4 | LDLLW |
| 16 |  Willem II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 1 | LDLL |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 18 | Cambuur | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 1 | DLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTelstar have won 5 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Cambuur 2-2 and lost to Ajax 0-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 5D 12L from the last 25 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Cambuur have won 1 of their last 7 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Fortuna Sittard 3-1 and lost to Bologna 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 4W 2D 9L from the last 15 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedTelstar3-4-2-1Confirmed
Cambuur3-4-2-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
4 playersTelstar1
Cambuur3
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Joey Kooij has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Joey Kooij to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Telstar have averaged 3.9 corners per match at home; Cambuur 5.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Telstar have generated 1.34 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 32% of them. They put 4.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Telstar player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
