NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord Prediction, Tips & Odds
NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord
Match Preview
The model favours Feyenoord to win this match against NEC Nijmegen, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Feyenoord currently sits in 6th place in the Eredivisie standings after two matches, boasting a record of one win and one draw. They have scored three goals while conceding just two, showcasing a solid goal difference of one. Their recent form is impressive, with four wins and one draw in their last five matches, indicating they are building momentum early in the season. In contrast, NEC Nijmegen is positioned 11th, having played two matches with one win and one loss. They have found the back of the net five times but have also conceded three goals, resulting in a goal difference of two. Their recent form shows two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, which suggests some inconsistency that could hinder their performance against a stronger opponent like Feyenoord. The model gives Feyenoord a win probability of approximately 60%, with a projected score of 2-1. One caveat to consider is that an early goal from NEC Nijmegen could shift the dynamics of the match, potentially disrupting Feyenoord's rhythm. For further details on our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 11.8% probability.
Feyenoord have been the stronger side, winning 59% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 11.8% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Feyenoord are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.78 | 4.20 | 2.12 | 1.33 | 3.30 | 1.30 | 3.20 | |
| 2.80 | 3.86 | 2.19 | 1.36 | 2.72 | 1.36 | 2.84 | |
| 2.75 | 4.20 | 2.15 | 1.33 | 3.25 | 1.33 | 3.25 | |
| 2.88 | 4.15 | 2.25 | 1.43 | 2.93 | — | — | |
| 2.71 | 3.47 | 2.03 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.75 | 3.75 | 2.20 | — | — | 1.36 | 2.90 | |
| 3.00 | 3.80 | 2.20 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.36 | 3.00 | |
| 2.88 | 3.98 | 2.26 | 1.36 | 2.72 | 1.36 | 2.90 | |
| 2.85 | 3.90 | 2.15 | 1.32 | 3.30 | 1.30 | 3.25 | |
Betano | 2.85 | 4.10 | 2.20 | 1.37 | 3.15 | 1.34 | 3.10 |
Superbet | 2.87 | 4.00 | 2.22 | 1.37 | 3.15 | 1.33 | 3.10 |
BetVictor | 2.80 | 3.90 | 2.20 | 1.36 | 2.90 | 1.33 | 3.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Feyenoord leads 3-1)In the last 10 matches between NEC Nijmegen and Feyenoord, NEC Nijmegen has won 1, drawn 6, and Feyenoord has won 3. The scorelines indicate a generally competitive rivalry, with several draws and close contests; notably, four matches ended in a draw, including two 1-1 results. While Feyenoord secured three victories, two of those were narrow wins, suggesting that matches tend to be tightly contested rather than one-sided. NEC Nijmegen's lone win, a 4-2 victory in November 2025, stands out as a rare high-scoring affair in an otherwise low-scoring trend.
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 15 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  PSV Eindhoven | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 13 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 | WDWDW |
| 4 |  Fortuna Sittard | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 | WWLWD |
| 5 |  Excelsior | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 9 | WWLW |
| 6 |  Ajax | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 7 | LWDW |
| 10 | NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 6 | LWWL |
| 16 |  Willem II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 1 | LDLL |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 1 | LDLLL |
| 18 |  Cambuur | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 1 | DLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonNEC Nijmegen have won 9 of their last 19 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Feyenoord 1-3 and lost to Bodo/Glimt 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 8D 11L from the last 33 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Feyenoord have won 6 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat Feyenoord 1-3 and beat Cambuur 2-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 7D 4L from the last 27 games (59% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
10 playersNEC Nijmegen5
Feyenoord5
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Allard Lindhout has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Allard Lindhout to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
NEC Nijmegen have averaged 6.0 corners per match at home; Feyenoord 5.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Feyenoord have generated 2.28 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 59% of them. They put 6.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Feyenoord player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
