Levski Sofia vs Borac Banja Luka Prediction, Tips & Odds
Levski Sofia vs Borac Banja Luka
Match Preview
The model favours Levski Sofia to win with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Levski Sofia has shown solid form lately, going unbeaten in their last five matches with three wins and two draws. This consistency places them in a strong position as they approach this qualifying round. Their ability to secure results, particularly at home, will be crucial in this encounter. On the other hand, Borac Banja Luka has had a mixed run with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. While they have shown resilience, their inconsistency could be a concern as they face a formidable opponent away from home. The pressure of the Champions League might add to their challenges, especially when competing against a team in good form. The model indicates a win probability for Levski Sofia at 50.4%, with a 28.1% chance of a draw and a 21.5% chance for Borac Banja Luka to win. One key market to consider is the likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 42.2%. However, the caveat here is that Levski Sofia must maintain their defensive stability, as any lapses could allow Borac Banja Luka to capitalize. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team through an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Levski Sofia have kept a clean sheet in 59% of matches. Borac Banja Luka average 1.9 goals per game.
Levski Sofia manage games at home, conceding just 0.45 goals per match. Borac Banja Luka score 1.87 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 20.8% probability.
Levski Sofia have been the stronger side, winning 68% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Levski Sofia win as the most likely scoreline at 20.8% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Levski Sofia clean sheets, in line with their 59% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Levski Sofia are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Levski Sofia vs Borac Banja Luka| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.32 | 4.40 | 9.25 | 1.95 | 1.80 | 2.35 | 1.48 | |
| 1.32 | 4.60 | 10.25 | 2.00 | 1.78 | 2.49 | 1.46 | |
| 1.25 | 4.60 | 10.50 | 2.00 | 1.73 | 2.63 | 1.44 | |
| 1.29 | 4.78 | 10.68 | 2.05 | 1.75 | — | — | |
| 1.28 | 4.19 | 8.30 | 2.01 | 1.77 | — | — | |
| 1.30 | 4.50 | 9.50 | — | — | 2.50 | 1.44 | |
| 1.30 | 4.20 | 8.50 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 2.62 | 1.44 | |
| 1.35 | 4.97 | 11.00 | 2.06 | 1.83 | 2.46 | 1.48 | |
| 1.35 | 4.50 | 9.00 | 1.95 | 1.74 | 2.35 | 1.50 | |
Betano | 1.34 | 4.50 | 9.25 | 2.00 | 1.75 | 2.50 | 1.47 |
Superbet | 1.32 | 4.70 | 8.40 | 1.97 | 1.74 | 2.52 | 1.46 |
BetVictor | 1.33 | 4.80 | 11.00 | 1.94 | 1.74 | 2.45 | 1.47 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between Levski Sofia and Borac Banja Luka shows 0 wins for Levski Sofia, 0 wins for Borac Banja Luka, and 1 draw. Their only encounter ended in a 1-1 draw, indicating a tightly contested match with both teams managing to score. With only one match played, there is insufficient data to establish a clear pattern, but the result suggests that neither side has a definitive upper hand in this fixture.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonLevski Sofia have won 12 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Levski Sofia 2-0 and beat Levski Sofia 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 6D 1L from the last 22 games (68% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Borac Banja Luka have won 3 of their last 8 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Borac Banja Luka 3-3 and lost to Levski Sofia 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 5D 2L from the last 15 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedLevski Sofia4-2-3-1Confirmed
Borac Banja Luka3-4-3Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersLevski Sofia
No reported absences
Borac Banja Luka
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
A. Madley has averaged 3.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Levski Sofia have averaged 7.0 corners per match at home; Borac Banja Luka 2.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Levski Sofia have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 68% of their matches and averaging 2.0 goals per game. They put 4.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Levski Sofia player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
