Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor Prediction, Tips & Odds
Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor
Match Preview
The model favours Çorum FK to win this match against Alanyaspor, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Çorum FK currently sits in 14th place in the league standings, with a record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses from their first four matches. They have scored 7 goals while conceding 9, resulting in a goal difference of -2. Their recent form shows a slight uptick, with two wins in their last five matches, suggesting they may be finding their rhythm. On the other hand, Alanyaspor is positioned just above Çorum FK in 12th place after playing three matches, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Their goal tally stands at 3 goals scored and 3 conceded, leaving them with a goal difference of 0. However, their recent form has been less impressive, with only one win in their last five matches and a tendency to drop points in tight situations. The model indicates that Çorum FK has a win probability of approximately 55% in this matchup. While the home advantage and recent form lean in their favour, one caveat is that inconsistency in defence could allow Alanyaspor to capitalize on any mistakes. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Çorum FK manage games at home, conceding just 1.08 goals per match. Alanyaspor score 1.48 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.6% probability.
Çorum FK have been the stronger side, winning 42% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.6% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Çorum FK clean sheets, in line with their 33% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Çorum FK are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.08 | 3.28 | 3.45 | 1.98 | 1.77 | 1.77 | 1.92 | |
| 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.75 | 2.05 | |
| 2.15 | 3.41 | 3.63 | 2.07 | 1.83 | — | — | |
| 2.14 | 2.91 | 2.94 | 2.05 | 1.77 | — | — | |
| 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.50 | — | — | 1.75 | 1.95 | |
| 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 2.17 | 3.42 | 3.60 | 2.06 | 1.84 | 1.77 | 1.94 | |
Betano | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.45 | 2.05 | 1.82 | 1.80 | 1.95 |
BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 1.94 | 1.74 | 1.78 | 1.93 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Alanyaspor leads 1-0)In the only recorded match between Çorum FK and Alanyaspor, Alanyaspor emerged victorious with a commanding 5-0 win. This one-sided result indicates a significant gap in performance, with Çorum FK failing to score and Alanyaspor demonstrating strong attacking prowess. The heavy defeat suggests that if these teams meet again, Çorum FK will need to address substantial weaknesses to compete more effectively.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 | WWWD |
| 2 |  Beşiktaş | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 | WWLW |
| 3 |  Kocaelispor | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 | WWWL |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 7 | WLWD |
| 5 |  Amed | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | DWLW |
| 6 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 7 | LDWW |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | LWD |
| 14 | Çorum FK | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 4 | WLLD |
| 16 |  Eyüpspor | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 | LWLL |
| 17 |  Göztepe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 | LLD |
| 18 |  Konyaspor | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonÇorum FK have won 3 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Çorum FK 0-1 and beat Çorum FK 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 3D 4L from the last 12 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Alanyaspor have won 1 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Alanyaspor 2-1 and lost to Fatih Karagümrük 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 8D 10L from the last 23 games (22% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedÇorum FK4-2-3-1Confirmed
Alanyaspor3-4-2-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersÇorum FK
No reported absences
Alanyaspor
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
A. Akarsu has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by A. Akarsu to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Çorum FK have averaged 6.8 corners per match at home; Alanyaspor 4.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Çorum FK have generated 1.90 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 42% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Çorum FK player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
