Panevėžys vs TransINVEST Vilnius Prediction, Tips & Odds
Panevėžys vs TransINVEST Vilnius
Match Preview
The model favours TransINVEST Vilnius to win against Panevėžys, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. TransINVEST currently sits in 2nd place in the A Lyga standings with 17 points from 10 matches, boasting a solid season record of five wins, two draws, and three losses. Their goal-scoring ability is evidenced by 16 goals scored, while they have conceded 11, resulting in a positive goal difference of 5. Panevėžys, on the other hand, is in 7th place with 11 points, having won three, drawn two, and lost five of their matches this season. Their goal difference stands at -8, with only 8 goals scored and 16 conceded. Although they have shown some recent improvement with three wins in their last five matches, their overall season form indicates struggles against tougher opponents. The model output indicates a win probability favouring TransINVEST Vilnius, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is that Panevėžys could leverage their recent form to surprise, especially if they capitalize on any defensive lapses from TransINVEST. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis comes from the SureTipsPro Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.3% probability.
TransINVEST Vilnius have been the stronger side, winning 57% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. TransINVEST Vilnius are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Panevėžys vs TransINVEST Vilnius| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.20 | 3.45 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.93 | 1.65 | 2.05 | |
| 3.28 | 3.20 | 2.02 | 1.78 | 1.91 | 1.63 | 2.06 | |
| 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.75 | 1.95 | 1.65 | 2.10 | |
| 3.43 | 3.26 | 2.08 | 1.83 | 1.98 | — | — | |
| 3.05 | 3.04 | 2.03 | 1.84 | 1.94 | — | — | |
| 3.20 | 3.00 | 2.10 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 3.20 | 3.50 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 3.35 | 3.20 | 2.04 | 1.78 | 1.91 | 1.63 | 2.10 | |
| 2.95 | 3.20 | 2.04 | 1.73 | 1.93 | 1.60 | 2.15 | |
Betano | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.05 | 1.75 | 1.88 | — | — |
Superbet | 3.35 | 3.25 | 2.07 | 1.80 | 1.90 | 1.66 | 2.10 |
BetVictor | 3.00 | 3.00 | 1.87 | 1.63 | 1.71 | 1.50 | 1.85 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
A Lyga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 5 | 23 | 25 | WLWWD |
| 2 | TransINVEST Vilnius | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 3 |  Džiugas Telšiai | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 | LLWWD |
| 4 |  Suduva Marijampole | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 16 | WWLWD |
| 5 |  FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 15 | WDDLD |
| 6 |  Banga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 14 | WDWDL |
| 7 | Panevėžys | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 | LLWLW |
| 8 |  Hegelmann Litauen | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 | LDLWD |
| 9 |  Šiauliai | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  FK Trakai | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 24 | -21 | 3 | LDDLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonPanevėžys have won 8 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Banga 1-0 and drew with Kauno Žalgiris 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 3D 7L from the last 23 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
TransINVEST Vilnius have won 6 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to TransINVEST Vilnius 3-2 and drew with TransINVEST Vilnius 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 4D 5L from the last 21 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersPanevėžys
No reported absences
TransINVEST Vilnius
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Panevėžys average 1.4 goals per match at home; TransINVEST Vilnius 2.6 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
TransINVEST Vilnius have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 57% of their matches and averaging 2.6 goals per game. TransINVEST Vilnius player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.