Paris FC vs Nice Prediction, Tips & Odds
Paris FC vs Nice
Match Preview
The model favours Nice to win this match against Paris FC, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Nice enters this season with a stronger recent form, having secured two wins in their last five matches, along with two draws. This form suggests a team that can find results even when under pressure, which is crucial as they look to improve on their mid-table finish last season. In contrast, Paris FC has struggled in their last five matches, recording only one win alongside two draws and two losses. This lack of momentum could impact their confidence as they begin the new season. With no previous league matches played this season, both teams are starting from scratch, but Nice's recent performances provide them with a slight edge. The model gives Nice a win probability of 55%, with the projected score of 2-1 reflecting their improved form. One important caveat is that if Paris FC can capitalize on home advantage and disrupt Nice's rhythm, the outcome could shift. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Paris FC manage games at home, conceding just 1.23 goals per match. Nice score 1.10 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.0% probability.
Paris FC have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.0% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Paris FC clean sheets, in line with their 35% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Paris FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Paris FC vs Nice| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.08 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.77 | 1.95 | |
| 2.09 | 3.44 | 3.80 | 2.05 | 1.79 | 1.81 | 1.89 | |
| 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.90 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 2.10 | 3.42 | 3.85 | 2.09 | 1.81 | — | — | |
| 2.05 | 3.14 | 3.29 | 2.03 | 1.83 | — | — | |
| 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.60 | — | — | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.80 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 2.12 | 3.50 | 3.86 | 2.11 | 1.84 | 1.81 | 1.91 | |
| 2.02 | 3.30 | 3.65 | 2.07 | 1.72 | 1.82 | 1.90 | |
Betano | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.70 | 2.05 | 1.80 | 1.78 | 1.95 |
Superbet | 2.12 | 3.35 | 3.65 | 2.07 | 1.77 | 1.85 | 1.92 |
BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.95 | 1.73 | 1.78 | 1.91 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 2 Meetings (Paris FC leads 1-0)The head-to-head record between Paris FC and Nice stands at 1 win for Paris FC, 1 draw, and no wins for Nice in the last two matches. The scorelines indicate a relatively tight contest, with one match ending in a narrow 1-0 victory for Paris FC and the other resulting in a 1-1 draw. This suggests that while Paris FC has had the edge recently, the matches have generally been competitive, with no heavy defeats for Nice and a draw indicating parity in performance.
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lille | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | WWDW |
| 2 |  Monaco | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 | DWWW |
| 3 |  Rennes | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | WWWD |
| 4 |  Lyon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | DWDW |
| 5 | Paris FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | DWWD |
| 6 |  Strasbourg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 | DWWL |
| 16 |  Le Havre | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | DLDL |
| 17 |  Toulouse | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 | DLDL |
| 18 | Nice | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 | LDLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonParis FC have won 7 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Nice 3-0 and beat Reims 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 10D 6L from the last 26 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Nice have won 4 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Paris FC 3-0 and drew with Hull City 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 14D 10L from the last 31 games (23% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
9 playersParis FC5
Nice4
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
J. Stinat has averaged 2.5 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Paris FC have averaged 2.0 corners per match at home; Nice 5.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 4.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Paris FC have generated 1.78 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 3.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Paris FC player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
