Platense vs Deportivo Riestra Prediction, Tips & Odds
Platense vs Deportivo Riestra
Match Preview
The model favours Platense to win against Deportivo Riestra, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Platense currently sits in 12th place in the Liga Profesional Argentina, having played 16 matches with a record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses. Their goal-scoring has been modest, with only 10 goals scored while conceding 15, resulting in a goal difference of -5. However, their recent form shows improvement, as they are unbeaten in their last five matches with two wins and three draws, indicating a potential turnaround in their season. On the other hand, Deportivo Riestra is struggling in 15th place, with only 1 win in 16 games, alongside 8 draws and 7 losses. They have scored a mere 5 goals this season and conceded 12, leading to a goal difference of -7. Their recent form reflects their difficulties, with only one win in their last five matches, accompanied by two draws and two losses. The lack of offensive firepower is a significant concern for them as they approach this match. The model gives Platense a win probability of approximately 58%. While the expectation leans towards a victory for Platense, the caveat lies in their inconsistent scoring ability, which could lead to an unexpected result if they fail to convert chances. For a detailed understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Platense have kept a clean sheet in 33% of matches. Deportivo Riestra average 0.6 goals per game.
Platense manage games at home, conceding just 1.03 goals per match. Deportivo Riestra score 0.61 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 20.2% probability.
Platense have been the stronger side, winning 27% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-0 draw as the most likely scoreline at 20.2% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Platense clean sheets, in line with their 33% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Platense are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Platense vs Deportivo Riestra| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.34 | 2.74 | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.33 | 2.40 | 1.50 | |
| 2.41 | 2.71 | 3.48 | 3.12 | 1.28 | 2.49 | 1.46 | |
| 2.30 | 2.80 | 3.50 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.28 | 2.79 | 3.96 | 3.42 | 1.31 | — | — | |
| 2.50 | 2.60 | 3.30 | — | — | 2.45 | 1.50 | |
| 2.35 | 2.70 | 3.40 | 3.50 | 1.30 | 2.62 | 1.44 | |
| 2.45 | 2.76 | 3.54 | 3.12 | 1.28 | 2.49 | 1.48 | |
| 2.48 | 2.75 | 3.35 | 3.30 | 1.32 | 2.43 | 1.50 | |
Betano | 2.40 | 2.75 | 3.70 | 3.35 | 1.35 | 2.45 | 1.50 |
BetVictor | 2.38 | 2.75 | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.30 | 2.55 | 1.45 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Deportivo Riestra leads 3-2)In the last 10 matches between Platense and Deportivo Riestra, the record shows Platense winning 2 times, Deportivo Riestra winning 3 times, and 5 matches ending in draws. This indicates a closely contested rivalry, with a significant number of draws suggesting that matches are often tightly fought. The scorelines reflect a tendency for low-scoring games, with several fixtures ending 0-0, and only one instance of a heavier defeat, where Deportivo Riestra won 4-0. Notably, Platense has not beaten Deportivo Riestra since 2021, highlighting a challenging recent history against this opponent.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | DLWLW |
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | LWLLW |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | WDDDW |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WDWLL |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | WDLWW |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | DDDDW |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 | WDWLL |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | DDLWL |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | DDLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonPlatense have won 4 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 8 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Instituto Cordoba 1-1 and drew with Boca Juniors 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 14D 10L from the last 33 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Deportivo Riestra have won 0 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Huracan 0-0 and lost to Newells Old Boys 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 14D 12L from the last 31 games (16% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersPlatense
No reported absences
Deportivo Riestra
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Platense have averaged 3.8 corners per match at home; Deportivo Riestra 4.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Platense have generated 1.06 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 27% of them. They put 4.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Platense player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
