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Polessya vs FC Copenhagen Prediction, Tips & Odds

Polessya vs FC Copenhagen

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
Polessya
LLWDW
3 - 3
Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr
Referee: D. Silva
FC Copenhagen
WWDWW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.80
BEST ODDS
Value found: Bookmakers offer average 1.71 (implied 58.5%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 61.5% probability (an expert ratio of 1.63). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (61.5% vs 58.5%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. The price even sits above our fair value, so you are paid more than the true probability suggests.

Match Preview

The model favours FC Copenhagen to win against Polessya, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. FC Copenhagen has demonstrated solid form this season, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. Their ability to secure results consistently highlights their competitive edge in this fixture. On the other hand, Polessya has also shown resilience, managing three wins, one draw, and one loss in their recent five games. While they have had some success, their overall standings and season performance metrics are less clear, which might impact their chances against a more established opponent like Copenhagen. The model output suggests a win probability favouring FC Copenhagen, reflecting their recent form and overall strength. However, a key caveat is that Polessya could leverage home advantage to disrupt Copenhagen’s rhythm. For detailed insights, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results across the season. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs this method to provide data-driven predictions.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Polessya Win32%3.88
Draw22%3.55
FC Copenhagen Win46%1.82
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7161.5%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.7960.8%

Combined goal output is high (4.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Polessya 1-1 FC Copenhagen
6.4715.6%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.6% probability.

Asian Handicap
FC Copenhagen -0.0
1.3440%

FC Copenhagen have been the stronger side, winning 54% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.47
15.6%
0-1
6.94
14.6%
1-2
7.40
13.7%
0-2
8.26
12.2%
0-0
9.86
10.3%
1-0
10.91
9.3%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Polessya
-0.0
2.96
FC Copenhagen
+0.0
1.34
Polessya
-0.5
3.72
FC Copenhagen
+0.5
1.77
Polessya
-1.5
9.50
FC Copenhagen
+1.5
3.20

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. FC Copenhagen are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Polessya vs FC Copenhagen
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
3.553.651.881.801.951.672.00
Marathonbet
4.153.541.801.801.961.702.01
Betfair
4.003.501.751.751.951.732.05
Pinnacle
4.113.601.841.852.01
SBO
3.353.071.841.831.93
William Hill
4.003.301.831.672.10
Bet365
3.503.901.751.752.051.801.91
1xBet
4.143.541.821.801.961.702.04
Unibet
4.203.601.791.791.881.731.95
Betano
3.753.701.831.781.981.702.02
Superbet
3.753.601.871.801.901.732.00
BetVictor
4.103.601.801.751.921.672.05

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.2%
Over 1.5 Goals
74.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
60.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
31.5%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XPolessya or Draw
54%1.90
12Polessya or FC Copenhagen
78%1.23
X2Draw or FC Copenhagen
68%1.21

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)
0 Polessya1 Draw0 FC Copenhagen
23 Jul
Polessya
3-3
FC Copenhagen
UEFA Europa Conference League

The head-to-head record between Polessya and FC Copenhagen shows 0 wins for Polessya, 0 wins for FC Copenhagen, and 1 draw. Their only encounter ended in a 3-3 draw, indicating a balanced competition where both teams managed to score evenly. The match featured a total of six goals, suggesting an open and attacking style from both sides. As it stands, neither team has a winning edge in their history, making their future meetings potentially unpredictable based on this single fixture.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
PolessyaFC Copenhagen
2.58Goals p.g.2.31
1.25Goals conceded p.g.1.54
42%Clean sheets15%
50%Win rate54%
3.83Avg goals in match3.85
xG per game2.02
xGA per game0.01
Possession %53%
Shots on target / game6.7
Corners per game5.4
Polessya
Recent Form

Polessya have won 3 of their last 5 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Polessya 1-3 and drew with Polessya 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 6W 2D 4L from the last 12 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: PolessyaAll competitions
14 Jul
Plzen
2-0
Polessya
Friendlies Clubs
14 Jul
Polessya
1-3
Shimizu S-pulse
Friendlies Clubs
10 Jul
WSG Wattens
1-2
Polessya
Friendlies Clubs
09 Jul
Polessya
0-0
Jagiellonia
Friendlies Clubs
02 Jul
Wörgl
0-11
Polessya
Friendlies Clubs
02 Jul
Polessya
4-1
Sabah FA
Friendlies Clubs
6
Win
50%
2
Draw
17%
4
Lost
33%
FC Copenhagen
Recent Form

FC Copenhagen have won 5 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Plzen 1-1 and beat Brondby 1-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 14W 4D 8L from the last 26 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: FC CopenhagenAll competitions
16 Jul
FC Copenhagen
2-1
Viborg
Friendlies Clubs
11 Jul
FC Copenhagen
3-2
AC Horsens
Friendlies Clubs
07 Jul
Plzen
1-1
FC Copenhagen
Friendlies Clubs
27 Jun
FC Copenhagen
5-3
Mjallby AIF
Friendlies Clubs
21 May
Brondby
1-3
FC Copenhagen
Superliga
17 May
FC Copenhagen
5-0
Randers FC
Superliga
14
Win
54%
4
Draw
15%
8
Lost
31%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Polessya

No reported absences

FC Copenhagen

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.79 (60.8%)
Both Teams Score1.71 (61.5%)
Value Bets
Polessya Win3.88 (32.1%)
FC Copenhagen Win1.82 (46.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.95 (39.2%)
BTTS No2.01 (38.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.55 (21.7%)

Yellow Card Prediction

D. Silva has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by D. Silva to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Polessya average 2.6 goals per match at home; FC Copenhagen 2.3 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

FC Copenhagen have generated 2.02 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 54% of them. They put 6.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC Copenhagen player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.