Raków Częstochowa vs Hammarby FF Prediction, Tips & Odds
Raków Częstochowa vs Hammarby FF
Match Preview
The model favours Raków Częstochowa to win against Hammarby FF, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Raków Częstochowa's recent form shows a mixed bag with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. While they may not have the strongest consistency, their ability to secure victories suggests a competitive edge, particularly in a home setting. On the other side, Hammarby FF has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. This moderate form indicates resilience, but their failure to convert draws into wins could hinder their performance in a challenging away fixture. The lack of decisive victories in recent outings may affect their confidence as they face Raków. According to the model output, Raków Częstochowa has a strong win probability, but the exact figures are not provided. One key market percentage to consider is their advantage in home matches, which often translates to better performance. A potential caveat is that if Hammarby can leverage their defensive capabilities to secure a draw or sneak a win, it could disrupt the expected outcome. For a complete understanding of the prediction, see the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that assesses expected goals and actual results from the season to inform their predictions.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.8% probability.
Raków Częstochowa have been the stronger side, winning 52% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.8% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Raków Częstochowa clean sheets, in line with their 36% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Raków Częstochowa are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Raków Częstochowa vs Hammarby FF| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.80 | 1.95 | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
| 2.15 | 3.32 | 3.20 | 1.83 | 1.92 | 1.66 | 2.06 | |
| 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.75 | 1.95 | — | — | |
| 2.12 | 3.27 | 3.13 | 1.84 | 1.93 | — | — | |
| 2.04 | 3.05 | 2.84 | 1.83 | 1.93 | — | — | |
| 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.10 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.23 | 3.44 | 3.31 | 1.88 | 1.96 | 1.66 | 2.09 | |
| 2.14 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 1.88 | 1.79 | 1.70 | 1.98 | |
| 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 1.83 | 1.91 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.20 | 1.82 | 1.95 | 1.65 | 2.12 |
BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.13 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonRaków Częstochowa have won 9 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Raków Częstochowa 1-2 and beat Raków Częstochowa 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 3D 9L from the last 25 games (52% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Hammarby FF have won 3 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Hammarby FF 3-1 and drew with IF Brommapojkarna 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 3D 5L from the last 15 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRaków Częstochowa
No reported absences
Hammarby FF
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Raków Częstochowa average 1.8 goals per match at home; Hammarby FF 1.9 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Raków Częstochowa have generated 2.60 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 52% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Raków Częstochowa player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
