Raków Częstochowa vs Hammarby FF Prediction, Tips & Odds
Raków Częstochowa vs Hammarby FF
Match Preview
The model favours Raków Częstochowa to win against Hammarby FF, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Raków Częstochowa's recent form shows a mixed bag with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. While they may not have the strongest consistency, their ability to secure victories suggests a competitive edge, particularly in a home setting. On the other side, Hammarby FF has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. This moderate form indicates resilience, but their failure to convert draws into wins could hinder their performance in a challenging away fixture. The lack of decisive victories in recent outings may affect their confidence as they face Raków. According to the model output, Raków Częstochowa has a strong win probability, but the exact figures are not provided. One key market percentage to consider is their advantage in home matches, which often translates to better performance. A potential caveat is that if Hammarby can leverage their defensive capabilities to secure a draw or sneak a win, it could disrupt the expected outcome. For a complete understanding of the prediction, see the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that assesses expected goals and actual results from the season to inform their predictions.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.0% probability.
Raków Częstochowa have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Raków Częstochowa are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Raków Częstochowa vs Hammarby FF| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.28 | 3.35 | 2.84 | 1.80 | 1.93 | 1.62 | 2.10 | |
| 2.31 | 3.24 | 2.97 | 1.82 | 1.94 | 1.63 | 2.11 | |
| 2.30 | 3.20 | 2.80 | 1.80 | 1.91 | 1.60 | 2.25 | |
| 2.32 | 3.19 | 2.99 | 1.83 | 2.00 | — | — | |
| 2.09 | 3.02 | 2.78 | 1.87 | 1.89 | — | — | |
| 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.90 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.35 | 3.30 | 2.75 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 2.39 | 3.35 | 3.07 | 1.86 | 1.98 | 1.63 | 2.14 | |
| 2.20 | 3.35 | 3.10 | 1.78 | 1.89 | 1.64 | 2.08 | |
| 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.90 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 2.37 | 3.35 | 2.90 | 1.85 | 1.93 | 1.65 | 2.12 |
Superbet | 2.32 | 3.30 | 2.92 | 1.80 | 1.90 | 1.66 | 2.10 |
BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.90 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (evenly matched 0-0)The head-to-head record between Raków Częstochowa and Hammarby FF shows 0 wins for either side, with 1 match ending in a draw. The only fixture played resulted in a 0-0 stalemate, indicating a tightly contested game with no goals scored. This lack of scoring suggests a balanced matchup, as both teams were unable to find the back of the net. Since this is the only encounter recorded, it remains to be seen how future meetings will unfold, but so far, neither team has established a clear advantage.
Key Statistics
2026 SeasonRaków Częstochowa have won 9 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Raków Częstochowa 0-0 and lost to Raków Częstochowa 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 4D 10L from the last 28 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Hammarby FF have won 3 of their last 9 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Hammarby FF 3-1 and drew with IF Brommapojkarna 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 3D 5L from the last 15 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRaków Częstochowa
No reported absences
Hammarby FF
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
H. Nalbandyan has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by H. Nalbandyan to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Raków Częstochowa have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; Hammarby FF 0.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 3.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Raków Częstochowa have generated 2.60 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 50% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Raków Częstochowa player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
