Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution Prediction, Tips & Odds
Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution
Match Preview
The model favours New England Revolution to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Real Salt Lake. New England currently sits in third place in the standings, having accumulated 40 points from 24 matches. Their season has been marked by a solid performance, with 12 wins and a goal difference of +9. The team has shown resilience, particularly in their recent form, which includes three wins in their last five matches. In contrast, Real Salt Lake finds themselves in 11th position with 29 points from the same number of games. Their season has been challenging, as reflected in their overall record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses. The team's recent form is concerning, with no wins in their last five matches, indicating potential struggles in both defence and attack. The model outputs a win probability of approximately 60% for New England, with a key market percentage suggesting a strong likelihood of a win. However, a caveat to consider is that Real Salt Lake could capitalize on home advantage, which might make them more competitive than their recent form suggests. The full method, which incorporates expected goals and actual results across the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team has crafted this forecast based on data-driven insights.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.6% probability.
Real Salt Lake have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Real Salt Lake are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Real Salt Lake vs New England Revolution| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.04 | 1.50 | 2.28 | 1.47 | 2.46 | |
| 2.10 | 3.90 | 3.00 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.00 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
| 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.10 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
Betano | 2.12 | 3.75 | 3.20 | 1.57 | 2.47 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Real Salt Lake leads 6-2)In the last 10 matches between Real Salt Lake and New England Revolution, Real Salt Lake has won 6 times, New England Revolution has won 2 times, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate that Real Salt Lake has had a stronger grip on these encounters, with several decisive victories, including a 4-1 win and a 2-0 win in their most recent match. However, New England Revolution's two victories include a dominant 4-0 win, showcasing that they can also perform strongly. Overall, while Real Salt Lake holds the upper hand, the matches have featured a mix of close contests and more lopsided results.
Major League Soccer Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 50 | 21 | 29 | 54 | DLDWW |
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 46 | LWLWW |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 45 | DDDWL |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 43 | LWDDL |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 43 | WWWDL |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 43 | WWLWD |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 29 | LLDLL |
| 14 |  Seattle Sounders | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 28 | DDDDL |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 51 | -20 | 21 | LLLLD |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 18 | WLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonReal Salt Lake have won 10 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to New York City FC 0-2 and drew with Los Angeles FC 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 8D 13L from the last 34 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
New England Revolution have won 4 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat New England Revolution 1-2 and beat New York City FC 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 7D 11L from the last 33 games (45% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersReal Salt Lake
No reported absences
New England Revolution
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Real Salt Lake have averaged 4.1 corners per match at home; New England Revolution 5.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Real Salt Lake have generated 0.61 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 4.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Real Salt Lake player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
